Stories about Culture--from the Alberta Views magazine archives /category/culture/ Thu, 02 Jul 2026 19:15:10 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.3 /wp-content/uploads/2016/09/cropped-default-e1473971529549-32x32.jpg Stories about Culture--from the Alberta Views magazine archives /category/culture/ 32 32 Should Cities Build More Bike Lanes? /should-cities-build-more-bike-lanes/ /should-cities-build-more-bike-lanes/#respond Wed, 01 Jul 2026 17:00:20 +0000 / A dialogue between Karly Coleman and Kayode Southwood

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Karly Coleman Says YES

Cyclist, cycling educator and Edmonton’s only bike traffic reporter

I started cycling in 1992, when bike lanes were but a gleam in a transportation engineer’s eye. I’ve taken and taught Cycling Canada courses on bike safety. I’ve been on cycling and active-transportation boards, advocating for cycling space on roads—any underutilized space, anywhere. I’ve cycled across Canada and written a memoir about that journey. So I have a lot of skin in the vehicular cycling game. But I was slow to appreciate bike lanes. As they’ve become more popular in North America, I’ve come to appreciate the freedom and protection they give people who ride.

Mostly I love how bike lanes show where cyclists are on the road. To be clear, we are allowed on most roads in Alberta (and are not allowed on most sidewalks), but we’re not always so visible. Given the small (but slowly growing) number of cyclists in many cities—e.g., around 19 per cent of Calgarians say they ride weekly; about 6 per cent ride daily—we’re hard to see and easy for vehicle drivers to fly by, to our potential peril. Collisions cost drivers too, so bike lanes protect everyone.

Moreover, vehicles themselves are getting bigger. Some 63 per cent of new vehicles now registered in Canada are classified as “multi-purpose” (which excludes cars and includes SUVs), compared to 42 per cent in 2017. These vehicles, which get bulkier with each iteration, make it much harder to see other users of our roads. Research published in 2024 in the journal Economics of Transportation shows that with every additional 10 cm of front-end height on a vehicle, the risk of death for pedestrians increases by 22 per cent.

Another reason we’re not always visible is that too few drivers are watching for us. They’re quelling their children’s fights, thinking about what to eat for supper, wondering if their favourite restaurant is still open—all while navigating a 4,500-pound machine on streets full of signs, signals, construction, other vehicles and pedestrians. And sometimes we cyclists are those drivers. We too know how easy it is to miss the neon jacket or flashing headlight on a cyclist’s body or bike.

Bike lanes are a game-changer especially for cyclists who belong to vulnerable populations, including women, children, seniors and differently abled people. With bike lanes, we don’t have to worry nearly as much about being unseen; there are literally concrete barriers between the oversized carapaces being driven through the streets and us.

With lower upkeep costs than roads, and year-round usability, bike lanes offer practical mobility for anyone who wants to get around—not just for those lucky enough to own a car. And bike lanes save us all money. As urban historian Lewis Mumford warned, adding highway lanes to deal with congestion is like “loosening your belt to cure obesity.” Edmonton’s Anthony Henday Drive has proved him right. Widening began on that road less than a decade after it opened. Meanwhile, former mayor Don Iveson famously referred to bike lanes as “budget dust.” He too was right. The annual maintenance and repair of Edmonton’s pathways, including bike lanes, costs about $178/km. To maintain the same length of road—and Edmonton has way more roads than bike lanes—costs $1,285/km.

 

Kayode Southwood Says NO

Senior policy analyst, Canadian Federation of Independent Business

Alberta’s municipalities should pause the expansion of bike lanes. While cycling infrastructure is important, the way bike lanes are being implemented today ignores the unique needs of the streets and communities they traverse. A one-size-fits-all approach is not only ineffective, it’s harmful. It disrupts local economies, hurts small businesses and alienates residents.

Proponents often claim that opposition to bike lanes is simply a culture war between cyclists and drivers. But that framing misses the point. Bike lanes have unfortunately become one of the most polarizing infrastructure issues in our cities not because people oppose cycling, but because cities are implementing these projects poorly. The real issue isn’t bikes vs. cars; it’s a failure to plan, consult and integrate bike lanes in ways that respect local communities and businesses.

In Calgary and Edmonton, for example, small businesses have reported significant losses due to new bike lanes installed in front of their stores that eliminate customer parking. Recent data from the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) shows one-quarter of Alberta’s small businesses rank traffic management infrastructure, including bike lanes, as the most harmful municipal issue they face.

This isn’t to say bike lanes are inherently bad. Protected infrastructure for cyclists is essential for safety and mobility. But when cities pursue aggressive expansion plans—installing intersecting bike lanes across nearly every downtown street—the result is confusion and underutilization.

Consider Calgary’s 15th Avenue SW bike lane. It runs west–east just one block south of an existing east–west lane, and is flanked by dual-direction lanes on both 12th Avenue SW and 11th Street SW. The latter sees an average of just 128 cyclists on weekdays according to the City’s data—a mere 0.005 per cent of the Beltline’s population of 25,880. More broadly, only 2 per cent of downtown trips in Calgary in 2024 were made by bike, half the target set in the City’s 2020 cycling strategy. Edmonton’s downtown bike lane data shows similarly low usage and unclear goals. Clearly, current bike lane investments aren’t yielding the expected modal shift, and further expansion would be wasteful.

Despite this, city officials continue to push forward without adequately consulting the people most affected. For example, Calgary’s engagement process for the 15th Avenue SW bike lane included virtual sessions attended by only two businesses. That’s not meaningful consultation. In both Calgary and Edmonton, municipal officials charge ahead with bike lanes that reduce accessibility, ignoring opposition.

 

Before adding still more bike lanes, municipalities must first commit to thorough monitoring and meaningful stakeholder engagement. Cities need to provide tangible support to businesses affected by construction—who see a 40 per cent drop in sales on average—and set clear, measurable goals for ridership with a willingness to adjust targets if they aren’t met.

Right now, bike lane strategies in Alberta feel like a race instead of a methodical plan. It’s time to slow down, listen up and build infrastructure that works for everyone.

 

karly coleman responds to kayode southwood

Kayode Southwood’s argument seems to be that while bike lanes aren’t “inherently bad,” cities haven’t asked people for permission to build them, and their implementation has been botched. Success would only be possible if bespoke lanes were created in place of the current one-size-fits-all approach. So, overall, we shouldn’t invest in bike lanes.

But bike lanes in Alberta aren’t a problem. Our cities are finally rising to the challenge of providing safer mobility infrastructure, including bike lanes. These provide more transportation choices and stronger economic resilience, not less. If anything is a problem, it’s a long-standing municipal planning system that sees automobiles as the major means of transportation. This bias has shaped our lives, guiding the placement and proliferation of streets, buildings and parking lots. For many of us, it’s the only life we know. We can see this in Southwood’s arguments. He ignores how our auto-dominant system might evolve to better serve everyone and how neighbourhood revitalization can positively impact even businesses. To hang the decline in fortunes for small businesses on bike lanes is a polarizing framework without hard evidence to back it up.

In 2025 we’ve seen what happens when provincial governments jump onto the populist anti-bike-lane bandwagon. Ontario attempted to rip out bike lanes with its Bill 212: Reducing Gridlock, Saving You Time Act. Ontario’s Superior Court found that removing protected bike lanes violated cyclists’ Charter rights by increasing risks to life and security of the people without any lawful justification. The province relied on “weak anecdotal evidence and expert opinion… unsupported, unpersuasive and contrary to the consensus view of experts,” without data showing that bike lanes caused the congestion or harm that politicians claimed.

Bike lanes deserve the same patience and evidence-based thinking as any other transportation infrastructure.

Southwood points to CFIB survey results that bundle bike lanes together with every other “traffic management” irritant and then treats that as proof that, ipso facto, cycling infrastructure is “harmful”—precisely the kind of conflation rejected by the Ontario court: anecdote and hearsay. Every credible study on safety, mode shift, economic vitality and corridor performance points the other way.

Southwood claims municipal planners have “failed” citizens by not consulting and integrating bike lanes into communities respectfully. As proof he states the City of Calgary held virtual engagement sessions in which only two businesses participated. It’s unclear how this constitutes a lack of engagement. Regardless, people weigh their participation in municipal processes against everyday routines, such as childcare, work issues and elder care. Sometimes the engagement session loses out, despite municipal entreaties. Demanding full attendance as a precondition for change simply hands a veto to whoever has the most time to show up.

Since parking is another of Southwood’s issues, let’s look at it. According to the late professor Donald Shoup, North America has seven parking spots for every car. Research shows vehicles are parked for an average of 23 hours a day—functioning more like bollards than transportation devices. And while automobiles can carry several people at once, they seldom do. Statistics Canada reports that over 80.9 per cent of automobile trips in 2025 were taken by single-occupant drivers. One driver stops at a store on the way home, parks, goes in, shops and leaves: one stall, one customer.

Now imagine the same stall designated for 12 bikes. One spot, 12 customers, same timeframe, vastly more commercial activity. Even in winter cities, research bears this out. Nonetheless, culturally, we cyclists aren’t seen as economic drivers. Southwood reinforces this blind spot by treating the loss of car parking as a crisis while ignoring the far greater economic potential of alternatives.

He also claims bike lanes are underutilized. If only it were so simple. Until we provide continuous, better-connected routes, the number of cyclists will increase only incrementally. But this doesn’t mean we shouldn’t install bike lanes. It means that as people see others like them riding, they’ll be encouraged to ride too. But only if they feel physically, emotionally and socially safe enough. And if they can park outside the store.

We wouldn’t rip out a bridge because traffic is light on opening day. Cycling infrastructure deserves the same patience and evidence-based thinking as any other transportation initiative. We don’t need a moratorium on bike lanes; we need the courage to keep building them—and the honesty to admit that the only thing truly threatened here is the primacy of the private car, not the public interest.

 

 

kayode southwood responds to karly coleman

Karly Coleman makes a heartfelt case for more bike lanes, highlighting the visibility and protection they offer cyclists. As someone who completed my first triathlon this year and logged thousands of kilometres on my bike, I agree that safe cycling matters. But accelerating bike-lane expansion along retail corridors without fixing how we plan, build and measure these projects is the wrong approach. In Alberta, bike lane implementation too often undercuts small-business viability. We need to pause blanket expansion and adopt a methodical business-first strategy that earns durable public support.

Across Canada, small firms have endured an average of 508 days of construction-related disruption over the past five years, according to the CFIB report “Hard Hats and Hard Times.” It found construction causes a 22 per cent revenue decline and roughly $10,000 in cleaning and repair costs. When lane removals, concrete medians and signal changes are layered onto multi-season construction, a mom-and-pop retailer or café operating on thin margins can’t simply “wait it out.” These aren’t soft costs—they translate into shorter hours, layoffs and closures, especially on streets where parking and loading are eliminated without alternatives. For many small businesses, curbside access isn’t a luxury; it’s the difference between survival and closure.

Affordability concerns add another layer. Edmontonians face a nearly 7 per cent property tax increase in 2026, so perhaps bike-lane expansions could have been scaled back to ease pressure on businesses and residents. Back in 2022, Edmonton city council approved $100-million to build out the city’s bike-lane network. Even a fraction of that could have been redirected to reduce tax burdens during a challenging economic climate. When cities are asking businesses to absorb higher taxes and rising costs, they need to demonstrate that every dollar spent delivers measurable value—not just political optics.

If this approach isn’t boosting ridership but is harming businesses, are cities meeting their goals

Coleman argues bike lanes bring year-round usability. True—but they also bring year-round costs, even when ridership plummets in winter. Edmonton devotes nearly 45 per cent of its $67-million snow and ice budget to clearing bike lanes, multi-use paths, bus stops, stairs and pedestrian spaces. City officials acknowledge that clearing active pathways can be more expensive per kilometre than clearing roads. The standard—to clear priority bike lanes to bare pavement within 24 hours—is appropriate for safety, but it underscores why route selection must be value-driven in winter cities. When taxpayers and businesses are footing the bill for premium maintenance in corridors that see minimal winter use, it’s fair to ask whether priorities are aligned with reality.

Additionally, consultation with merchants on bike lanes is often superficial. Transit projects show the same pattern. In Edmonton’s Chinatown, for example, the City pushed ahead with a transit lane that removed all parking on 101st St NW. Area businesses voiced strong opposition and sent letters to council without response. When projects reconfigure parking, loading and delivery routes, cities must prioritize grassroots engagement—door-to-door outreach, roundtables and access audits—before finalizing designs. Online surveys and virtual sessions attended by only a handful of businesses don’t constitute meaningful consultation. If cities want buy-in, they need to meet business owners where they are—on the street, in their shops and at times that work for them.

Protected lanes do improve safety—when placed where they’re needed most. But building parallel lanes within blocks of each other without clear ridership targets or review commitments is poor stewardship of curb space. One of Calgary’s Cycling Strategy goals is to increase satisfaction with cycling. If the current approach isn’t boosting ridership and is harming businesses, is it meeting its objectives Truly we don’t know. The City stopped publishing its annual Bicycle Program Yearbook in 2013 and hasn’t posted a cycling strategy update since 2018. Our cities should regularly review ridership data and public opinion to trigger course corrections. The lack of measurement is what prompted Alberta’s transportation minister in 2025 to call for bike-lane removals.

Cities don’t need an endless tug-of-war between cyclists and shopkeepers—they need a plan for coexistence. Bike lanes can deliver safety and sustainability, but only if paired with policies that keep storefronts accessible and main streets vibrant. That means treating small businesses as partners, not afterthoughts: maintaining parking, integrating curbside loading zones, offering construction relief, and measuring success by both ridership and retail health. If we get this right, we won’t just build bike lanes—we’ll build trust, strong local economies and streets where commerce and active transportation thrive together.

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Should Canada approve lab-grown meat? /should-canada-approve-lab-grown-meat/ /should-canada-approve-lab-grown-meat/#respond Mon, 01 Jun 2026 15:55:26 +0000 / A dialogue between Yadira Tejeda-Saldana and Alice Driver

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Yadira Tejeda-Saldana Says Yes

Director of responsible research & innovation, Canada, New Harvest

With the global population projected to reach 10 billion by 2050, and with natural resources finite, creating sustainable food solutions is critical. This challenge, however, presents an opportunity to innovate and enhance food production through technologies such as cellular agriculture, which uses cells from animals, plants or even microbes (like those for brewing beer) to produce food, including animal-cell-derived meat. Innovation can help feed a growing population by complementing traditional agriculture. While much attention focuses on “lab-grown meat,” cellular agriculture also produces other products, such as cocoa, coffee or vanilla. Their manufacture can be in facilities or integrated into local rural operations, making them familiar and scalable, like yogurt.

Canada’s abundant resources and strong agricultural legacy position us to have a domestic cellular agriculture sector with 86,000 jobs and worth $7.5-billion by 2030. Under certain scenarios, cellular agriculture could improve efficiency and reduce environmental pressures—for example, using less land and creating fewer GHG emissions in meat production. Cell-derived food won’t replace traditional ways but will work with conventional farming to diversify production and strengthen rural resilience. This is crucial, as climate change is already harming farmers and ranchers. A study cited by Farm Credit Canada estimates droughts, floods and storms could lead to $3-billion in agricultural losses between 2022 and 2050. While cellular agriculture still depends on farm inputs, it could help farmers adapt by creating new revenue streams, e.g., converting damaged crops into feedstock for cell-based production.

Canada strongly depends on agri-food trade. We export over 50 per cent of our agricultural production and import roughly 30 per cent of our food and beverages. Global conflicts and trade issues can disrupt this supply chain, emphasizing the urgency of strengthening national food and economic security. This is a call to action for producers, researchers, innovators and consumers to collaborate to build greater resilience. Cellular agriculture can contribute by leveraging cutting-edge technology to boost the efficiency of local food production.

Farms could integrate cellular agriculture alongside crops and livestock, transforming otherwise wasted materials into cell-based products or value-added inputs. By-products from canola or pea processing, for instance, can be repurposed to culture animal cells for meat, advancing a circular economy and reducing reliance on single export markets (e.g., 65 per cent of canola meal goes to the US). This would boost autonomy and jobs and diversify revenue across the agricultural value chain, the way craft brewing and distilling revitalize local economies.

Our choice today is whether to allow cellular agriculture to flourish here or simply observe its benefits from afar. Canada has long been known for high-quality, safe agricultural products. By embracing cellular agriculture we can maintain that reputation while putting ourselves at the forefront of sustainable change. By approving cell-derived meat, we will ensure a thriving agricultural sector for generations to come.

 

Alice Driver Says No

Author of The Life and Death of the American Worker

When I think of meat and of how invested society is in continuing to subsidize and eat meat, I think of Tender is the Flesh, by Argentinian novelist Agustina Bazterrica. In this dystopian tale, a virus has contaminated all animal meat, and so companies begin to raise humans for slaughter. While that might seem unrelated to lab-grown meat, both proposals represent a future in which societies recognize problems with conventional meat and invest immense resources in creating novel sources of meat that are troubling in their own way.

What do we mean by lab-grown meat A company extracts cells from a live animal, then grows these at scale in a stainless-steel bioreactor. As the Government of Canada puts it, “The resulting tissues are intended to be used—for example, baked, grilled etc.—like any other food ingredient.” Singapore, Israel, Australia and the US have approved some lab-grown meats for human consumption on a limited scale; Canada has not.

The same global companies that invented modern factory farming, Tyson Foods and Cargill, are now investing in the companies that are producing lab-grown meat. In other words, companies that have caused immense environmental damage and worsened labour standards across the world are now part of the new protein technologies. What companies such as Tyson and Cargill have successfully bet on in the past is that most consumers don’t care how their meat is produced, how it tastes or what harms it creates. With lab meat, these companies are making the same bet.

They are also marketing lab meat to more conscious consumers, calling it the “future of food” and environmentally friendly. This claim, however, merits skepticism. A 2023 study published in ACS Food Science & Technology, for example, suggests that lab meat’s carbon footprint is potentially much worse than that of beef, based on a life-cycle assessment of the energy used and GHGs emitted at all stages of production. The biopharmaceutical industry generally—and the “broth” in which lab meat is grown specifically—is energy-intensive.

But even if in the long term lab-grown meat proves slightly less damaging to the environment than conventional meat, will it matter Industry projects lab-grown meat will cost the consumer $6–$12 per pound. Independent studies estimate a cost of $17–$23. In this scenario, lab-grown meat, unless it’s subsidized, is unlikely to be the future of food for most of us.

To eat meat is a morally and ethically complicated choice involving animal welfare, workers’ well-being, the environment and human health. Lab-grown meat involves various nuances of these same issues. Big Tech’s solutions are dubious: a vision of a future with an abundance of meat products that do no harm. And if Canada approves lab meat, it risks replicating the factory-farm model, with its tiny number of multinationals dominating the domestic market and food supply. “If we took that money away from Big Meat,” counters food journalist Alicia Kennedy, “there’s so much we can do on smaller scales to make sure food is equitably grown and equitably accessed, and nutritional needs are met along with cultural needs.”

 

Yadira Tejeda-Saldana responds to Alice Driver

Alice Driver MAKES A compelling argument about the potential of cell-derived meat to perpetuate the flaws of factory farming, and I share her concerns. I’d argue, however, that nowadays companies can still count on most consumers not caring about how their meat is produced, how it tastes or the harm it causes. A 2025 Canadian report indicates that more than 50 per cent of Canadian consumers are concerned about health risks, nutritional value, pesticides and preservative levels in their food. It’s also well documented that rising food prices affect shopping habits. Although consumers are open to purchasing locally produced, healthier or higher quality food, budget constraints are undermining their willingness to improve their food choices. The same report shows that 77 per cent of Canadians are concerned about climate change, with a majority shifting their dietary habits to reduce their impact. Canadians also seek deeper insights into the food they buy, with more than 50 per cent reporting that they look for sustainability information through social media or traditional media.

I’d also agree with Driver that it’s debatable whether cell-derived meat can be more environmentally friendly than conventional meat. Life-cycle assessment studies show a wide range of potential outcomes, which are highly dependent on production assumptions, scale and energy sources. The main challenge is that no mass-production facility currently exists, so projections remain speculative. But the study that Driver cites was widely misrepresented by journalists. That study assumes growth-culture media inputs will be “highly refined,” similar to those used in the biopharmaceutical industry. This refinement is the primary reason why the global-warming potential of cell-derived meat was said to be substantially higher than that of conventional beef. But while highly refined inputs were typical in the early stages of research into cell-derived meat, it’s unlikely large-scale production will rely on such costly inputs. In fact, several companies and researchers are developing less refined food-grade media formulations to lower costs and improve the environmental footprint of cell-derived meat. For instance, they’re exploring agricultural by-products, such as canola meal, as affordable replacements.

We’re developing ways to lower costs and improve the environmental footprint of cell-derived meat.

And even if Driver were correct that the cost of cell-based meat is higher than that of conventional meat, this is a common pattern for new products, especially when manufactured at a small scale. Computers and cell phones were initially very expensive and inaccessible to most people. Scientific and technological advancements have now enabled most people to have them. Pineapples were once rare and expensive for many people. Thanks to ships, refrigeration, canning technology and breeding advancements, however, pineapples can now be found in supermarkets worldwide at an affordable price.

The first burger made using cell-derived technology was estimated to have cost $330,000. Driver’s referenced prices of $6–$12 and $17–$23 per pound already represent a significant decrease from the early days. The industry is focused on addressing scaling-up challenges to make the product more affordable still.

I align with Driver’s views on the moral and ethical issues surrounding meat consumption. It’s all quite nuanced. Food isn’t merely a product; it’s deeply interconnected with cultures, traditions and lifestyles. Accordingly we need to ensure that new food technologies account for this. As a food scientist and avid food lover, I believe in responsibly using technology to address pressing global challenges. Emerging technologies such as cellular agriculture shouldn’t be viewed as a silver bullet or as a trap set by Big Tech. Rather they’re tools that must be governed judiciously. In Canada the cellular agriculture industry remains small, providing ample opportunities to apply lessons from factory farming regarding labour, equity and consolidation. The ecosystem is in development, enabling broad engagement from diverse groups. Canadian researchers recognize this: a project at the University of the Fraser Valley is exploring the social impacts of cellular agriculture and developing guidelines to embed justice from the outset so that the benefits of cellular agriculture reach rural communities, workers and Indigenous stewards.

We should think globally but act locally. With current economic models faltering and the federal government encouraging middle powers such as Canada to develop resilient, homegrown supply chains, opportunities are emerging. Cellular agriculture has the potential to retool our food system without repeating past mistakes. My team at New Harvest is actively pursuing this idea, welcoming grassroots partnerships with diverse communities willing to build a fairer future from the ground up.

 

Alice Driver responds to Yadira Tejeda-Saldana

It is true that the global population is projected to reach 10 billion by 2050 and that natural resources are finite. I do, however, question why we, as a society, continue to equate sustainability with meat, which, whether factory-farmed or lab-grown, is one of the most energy-intensive foods on the planet to produce. I am interested in exploring the philosophy of meat and the implications of continuing to invest heavily in the consumption of animal flesh. The base assumption of the argument to produce lab-grown meat is that meat is the way to meet the caloric needs of the future population. In a 2025 interview, however, Stanford food and agriculture expert David Lobell said that lab-grown meat probably wouldn’t have a significant impact on food sustainability “anytime soon enough to really matter…”

While it’s true that innovation can help feed a growing population, why is innovation defined as cell-grown meat Climate change is already harming farmers and ranchers, but an honest discussion would involve acknowledging the environmental impact of all forms of meat. A 2023 UC Davis study found that “the global-warming potential of lab-based meat using these purified media is 4 to 25 times greater than the average for retail beef.” Edward Spang, an associate professor of food science and technology and one of the authors of the study, wrote, “Our findings suggest that cultured meat is not inherently better for the environment than conventional beef. It’s not a panacea.”

Canadians are already some of the most voracious meat-eaters in the world. The easiest, most cost-effective and most direct way for Canadians to address climate change and shrink their ecological footprint would be to reduce their meat consumption, not substitute one form of energy-intensive meat for another.

Scientists have shown that a plant-rich diet that includes only moderate meat consumption could prevent 40,000 early deaths per day by 2050 and cut in half the food-related emissions driving global heating. But we’d need to start right away. I live in Phoenix, Arizona, which has been shattering heat records in 2026, and where the growing number of heat deaths has been covered by The New York Times. The effects of climate change affect us all, and we need to look first to the simple changes, such as eating less meat, that could profoundly help the earth and our own health.

A more sustainable future could involve foods such as crickets, mealworms, algae and seaweed. Sure, people might recoil at the “strangeness” of such foods. But I often wonder why it’s easier for society to invest over $3-billion in meat grown in stainless steel vats than for us to seriously discuss alternative proteins, vegetarianism or veganism. And it’s not like Canadians would be starting from scratch. According to a 2025 study, 7.6 per cent of Canadians are already vegetarian, and 4.6 per cent are vegan.

We should reduce meat eating, not substitute one form of energy-intensive meat for another.

I also question to what extent cellular agriculture could help beleaguered farmers create new revenue streams, because cell culture systems are extremely sensitive. For example, damaged crops couldn’t be used in a lab environment if they had mycotoxins (from mould contamination), chemical contamination or pathogenic microbes. While Canada has abundant natural resources, the lab-grown meat industry has yet to demonstrate that it will reduce environmental pressures on even a small scale, let alone a large one.

And yet I recognize that protein is currently a cultural obsession being used to market everything from popcorn to Doritos. Global meat-packing companies, many of which are also investing in lab-grown meat, wield significant political influence, especially in the US. In 2025 The New York Times declared “Meat is back, on plates and in politics,” citing the influence of the Make America Healthy Again movement, which includes members of the Trump administration such as Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. The far-right movement across the globe, including Canadian author Jordan Peterson, has embraced and promoted the carnivore diet.

There is a way to discuss cellular agriculture that recognizes its limitations. The lab-grown meat industry has proven it can attract investment, and it would certainly be a way for Canada to create jobs in a new industry. However, the industry hasn’t proven that it’s at the forefront of sustainable change, nor that it’s the food of the future. It is an expensive, energy-intensive biopharma-derived food product that, at current costs, would be unaffordable to most of the world’s population. We’d be wise to direct our energy elsewhere.

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Should Canada allow the display of Nazi symbols? /should-canada-allow-the-display-of-nazi-symbols/ /should-canada-allow-the-display-of-nazi-symbols/#respond Fri, 01 May 2026 17:24:37 +0000 / A Dialogue Between Joanna Baron and Richard Robertson

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Joanna Baron says yes

Executive director, Canadian Constitution Foundation

Der Stürmer was a German newspaper in the 1930s that published virulently anti-Semitic tirades. In Weimar Germany Der Stürmer and its publisher, Julius Streicher, were prosecuted for hate speech no fewer than 36 times. Yet each time, Streicher’s notoriety and martyrdom grew—the courts became an arena for him to display his odious views. As for the other German laws criminalizing anti-Semitic speech, history has delivered a clear verdict on their efficacy in preventing the Holocaust.

Despite this historical failure, European countries maintain strict laws against Holocaust denial, anti-Semitic hate speech and displaying Nazi symbols. Yet these same countries struggle with high rates of anti-Semitic hate crimes. Canada is now poised to follow this path: the Carney government (with its Bill C-9) proposes to criminalize “wilfully promoting hatred” by displaying specified symbols, including Nazi symbols, in public.

Holocaust survivors and Jewish communities rightly feel threatened and degraded when Nazi symbols appear in public spaces. The question is not whether such displays cause pain—they clearly do—but whether criminalization is the appropriate or effective response. I argue it is neither.

Hate and bigotry have always existed, irrespective of government attempts at suppression. And criminalizing hateful symbols doesn’t make these views disappear. It drives them underground, where they attract the allure of forbidden fruit and generate sympathy from state attempts at suppression. When hate is visible, civil society can respond with counter-protests, education and social ostracism—tools far more persuasive than government bans. Hidden from view, hate becomes harder to identify, monitor and effectively counter.

Visibility serves another crucial function: law enforcement can track connections between symbolic expression and genuinely illegal activity. Canada already properly criminalizes hate speech closely connected to violence or true incitement. Banning symbols divorced from immediate physical harm actually undermines those efforts.

Perhaps most troubling are the inevitable enforcement problems. Who decides what constitutes “wilfully promoting hatred” Criminal law can’t capture the nuances of context. Is a museum displaying Nazi symbols for education guilty What about political satire or anti-Nazi art If Nazi symbols are criminalized, why not Confederate flags, Soviet hammer-and-sickles or “F*** Trudeau” signs Speech bans depend on the state drawing arbitrary and subjective lines, chilling expression that people fear could be punished under vague categories.

Our Charter provides for reasonable limits on speech when genuine harm occurs. It addresses true threats and incitement, including provisions criminalizing the advocating of genocide, wilful promotion of hatred, uttering of threats, intimidation, harassment, mischief and unlawful assemblies. Creating special criminal categories for symbols risks politicizing enforcement and inviting inconsistent application based on whoever holds power. Sunlight and social revulsion work better than martyr-making prosecutions over a patch on a jacket.

 

Richard Robertson Says No

Director of research and advocacy, B’nai Brith Canada

Few symbols trigger as much emotion in Canada as the Hakenkreuz (“hooked cross”), commonly thought of as a swastika, or other Nazi iconography. Wherever they appear, these symbols invoke the memory of the Third Reich and the horrors of the Holocaust. In some contexts it is appropriate to use Nazi symbols for artistic, historical and educational purposes. But when such iconography is used to wilfully promote hatred, the Government has a clear imperative to act.

As a matter of principle, our democracy has no business censoring sentiments that are unpopular or even detestable. But our fundamental freedoms have reasonable limits; when rights are abused to promote hatred, an appropriate balance must be struck. This is a founding principle of our constitutional system. A limited prohibition on the public display of Nazi symbols is paramount if Canadians are to continue living together in a society of diverse opinions, cultures and faiths.

In Canada it is already accepted that our freedoms aren’t absolute. In R. v. Oakes the Supreme Court held that the federal government may impose reasonable limitations on the fundamental freedoms enumerated in the Charter of Rights and Freedoms. This would be the case for a prohibition on the public display of Nazi symbols, provided it is rational and measured and that the impact on freedom of expression is minimal and proportional to the harm such displays cause.

Bill C-9, the Combatting Hate Act, proposes to criminalize the act of using Nazi symbols in a public space to wilfully promote hatred against any identifiable group. That such an amendment, if enacted, would infringe on Section 2 of the Charter, which guarantees Canadians’ right to freedom of expression, is not up for debate. It is, moreover, incontrovertible that, in our Charter system, it is permissible to create legislation that infringes on our fundamental rights, provided it is done within the parameters set out in the Oakes test (a framework for deciding whether government action that infringes a Charter right is justified). In this instance, the law would only apply to specific symbols, such as the Hakenkreuz, when used in a specific context. Courts have applied a similar limitation to other forms of expression, including obscenity.

The proliferation of Nazi symbols isn’t a theoretical dilemma. A growing number of neo-Nazi movements and other nefarious actors, exploiting societal divisions, are using Nazi iconography to promote hatred. With increasing frequency, Nazi symbols have been displayed in public spaces with hateful intent. This alarming trend demonstrates an urgent need to amend the Criminal Code to deter the use of Nazi symbols to promote hate, and to hold perpetrators of such acts accountable.

Amid the ongoing crisis of anti-Semitism and the worsening hatred plaguing our society, our government has a vested interest in restricting the public display of Nazi symbols that are being used to wilfully promote hate. The impact of the proposed legislation on individuals’ Charter rights is justifiable under Section 1 and would reflect Parliament’s sincere commitment to combating hate and protecting human rights.

 

joanna baron responds to richard robertson

Richard Robertson and I share the conviction that Nazi ideology led to the worst crime in history and is despicable. We also agree that Holocaust survivors and Jewish communities deserve protection from hatred. Where we differ is on whether Bill C-9’s criminalization of Nazi symbol displays advances legitimate government objectives while minimally impairing free expression. I argue it fails on both counts.

Robertson writes that C-9 would criminalize using Nazi symbols “to wilfully promote hatred against any identifiable group.” But Canada already criminalizes the wilful promotion of hatred, under section 319(1) of the Criminal Code. The Supreme Court upheld this provision in R. v. Keegstra, and clarified in Saskatchewan (Human Rights Commission) v. Whatcott that it captures expression that is “ardent and extreme” in its derogation of an identifiable group. If displaying Nazi symbols with intent to promote hatred already violates this law, what exactly does Bill C-9 add?

The logical inference is that C-9 targets displays that don’t currently meet the threshold for “wilful promotion of hatred.” This means it aims to criminalize either displays without intent to promote hatred, or displays that lower the bar for what constitutes such promotion. Even if a judge uses discretion and declines to convict for displays without hateful intent, the bill raises the spectre of enforcement problems, inviting police to view simple displays of symbols as criminally culpable, and chilling protected expression.

My interlocutor’s own claims undermine his case for criminalizing symbols. He writes that Nazi symbols appear “with increasing frequency” in public spaces “with hateful intent.” If these displays truly constitute wilful promotion of hatred under existing law, why aren’t they being prosecuted Crown prosecutors have discretion to lay charges under section 319(1) when they believe there’s a reasonable prospect of conviction. The perceived need for C-9 suggests these displays don’t meet the current legal threshold, which means the bill’s purpose is to criminalize speech currently considered protected.

Simple displays of symbols could be viewed as criminally culpable, chilling protected expression.

Robertson also asserts that C-9 would satisfy the Oakes test for justifiable Charter violations. The Oakes test, however, requires not just a pressing objective but also that the law be rationally connected to its objective, with minimal impairment of rights and with benefits exceeding the harms. Other democracies’ experiences suggest banning hate symbols won’t further the objective of reducing hate. It instead grants them a mystique that attracts more people to the cause. Germany’s post-war symbol bans have allowed neo-Nazi movements to flourish there despite criminal prohibitions. France’s strict laws haven’t prevented that country from suffering some of Europe’s highest anti-Semitic hate-crime rates.

The comparison to obscenity law also is irrelevant. Obscenity typically involves private material and commercial transactions, not political expression, in public spaces. Nazi symbols, however odious, are inherently ideological and political expression: at the core of what the Charter protects. Courts have consistently held that political speech, even when deeply offensive, receives heightened protection.

Robertson dismisses practical enforcement concerns by gesturing to “similar limitations” courts have applied to other forms of expression. But he provides no mechanism for making the distinctions his framework requires. Who decides whether a display promotes hatred or is educational Police at a demonstration A Crown prosecutor reviewing charges A judge at trial At what point does someone know they’re safe from prosecution?

He also ignores the potential for enforcement creep. If Nazi symbols can be banned based on historical atrocities and potential for promoting hatred, what principled basis exists for not banning other symbols Indeed, justice minister Sean Fraser indicated he is open to widening the legislation to ban other symbols associated with hate. We can speculate: the hammer and sickle represents regimes responsible for the Holodomor, the Great Purge and the gulag, killing tens of millions. The Rising Sun flag offends many Koreans and Chinese, given Japan’s wartime atrocities. What would prevent these from also attracting criminal sanctions in Canada?

Canada already has good ways to address genuinely harmful conduct such as criminal harassment, uttering threats, assault, incitement to violence and, yes, wilful promotion of hatred. These address conduct and true threats while leaving mere offensive expression to social response. It is vigilance against bad actors, and confidence in the resilience of an open society, that will keep us safe and free, not new layers of state-enforced censorship.

 

richard robertson responds to joanna baron

Joanna Baron is right to raise concerns about freedom of speech, but her analysis mischaracterizes Bill C-9, the government’s proposed Combating Hate Act, as well as its historical parallels and precedents.

What Parliament has proposed is far less extreme than Baron would have readers believe it is. The government is not contemplating a law that would criminalize hateful speech—one of the proposed amendments identifies specific Nazi symbols, including the Hakenkreuz, and only under certain circumstances. For the proscription to be applicable, the accused would have to publicly display the symbol in a way that “wilfully promotes hatred.” That is a high threshold, and it will help courts distinguish acts that are intentionally hateful from those which, although objectionable, cannot be considered criminal under our Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Still, Baron is no doubt expressing an instinctual skepticism shared by many Canadians. Government decisions that limit our freedoms should never be taken lightly and must always be questioned. But in this case, the law has clearly defined which symbols it proscribes and under what circumstances. Baron’s suggestion that the proposed amendments would be used to ban symbols that have not already been enumerated in Bill C-9 is unfounded. Any additional proscriptions would need to be implemented through the development of novel legislation that would be subject to the checks and balances inherent to our democratic process.

It is difficult to comprehend how Baron could describe these as “vague categories” based on “arbitrary” lines. In some instances, she’s simply wrong: she posits that Bill C-9 might prevent a museum from curating Nazi iconography, even though the legislation contains explicit exemptions for purposes that are “educational or artistic” in nature.

We will safeguard Canadians’ basic freedoms while contributing to a system of respectful discourse.

The notion that Bill C-9 or similar anti-hate laws would make policing more difficult is dubious. The legislation doesn’t prevent anyone from owning Nazi flags or materials, nor does it criminalize Nazi ideology. The law only concerns public displays of defined symbols when used to wilfully promote hatred. Our courts have already set a high threshold for what constitutes such conduct.

It’s not unreasonable for Baron to question how effective Bill C-9 would be in practice. But she misrepresents the results of similar efforts in Europe, where symbols such as the Hakenkreuz are already illegal. These laws tend to be more expansive than the reforms to Canada’s Criminal Code that Parliament has introduced. Moreover, it is logical to assume that, when a country introduces laws criminalizing anti-Semitic conduct, the documented number of anti-Semitic hate-crimes in that country will increase. Baron cites the phenomenon as proof that anti-hate laws do not work. In fact, it’s just the opposite.

Underlying Baron’s objections and misrepresentations is an apparent critical misreading of the relevant historical context. In her opening she argues that laws against anti-Semitic speech in the Weimar Republic failed to prevent the Holocaust, and that this is one reason to question the merit of similar legislation in the 21st century. This is absurd. The Holocaust happened because the Nazis overthrew the Weimar system and replaced it with a totalitarian regime. She also implies that these rules may have backfired and allowed Nazis such as Julius Streicher to depict themselves as martyrs. But this omits critical context about interwar Germany. Numerous scholars have shown that the Weimar-era anti-hate laws were too lenient to serve as a deterrent, while the authorities rarely enforced them, in part because the Republic was unstable and perceived as illegitimate, for manifold reasons.

Modern Canada, by contrast, has robust enforcement, a constitutionally entrenched Charter of Rights and Freedoms and a strong, democratic national ethos. Our society also has the benefit of hindsight: for most Canadians, the hakenkreuz is a symbol inextricably linked to the Holocaust and abuse of human rights. Banning its public display would reflect a consensus on the need for legislative reform to address the proliferation of hatred.

The effect of the legislation will not be to drive hate underground, as Baron contends, because Nazi ideology is already on the fringes of Canadian society. There is a difference between objectionable views that some individuals may hold and movements that openly use hate symbols to stir up violence against minorities and undermine democracy. Such practices endanger freedom of expression in ways that are far more pernicious and egregious than a reasonable limitation on public displays involving specific symbols. The government is being proportional and balanced, safeguarding all Canadians’ basic freedoms while contributing to a system of discourse that is respectful and peaceful for all parties involved.

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AI Fever Dream /ai-fever-dream/ /ai-fever-dream/#respond Wed, 01 Apr 2026 19:11:31 +0000 / Stop the assault on truth!

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Over the course of the 23 years I worked at the Edmonton Journal I wrote about all kinds of important things, from murders to forest fires to constitutional crises. But the two “investigations” that got me the most attention were among the least “important” stories of my career.

In 2004 I broke the story that a paper Ralph Klein had tabled in the legislature, an essay on the Chilean Revolution that he’d written for a class at Athabasca University, was a collection of quotes lifted from other sources without citations. (Our lawyers advised me not to use the term plagiarism. Other news outlets were less punctilious.) How did I score this scoop I’d simply typed various phrases from Klein’s paper into Google—which was still something of a novelty—and found the sources he’d borrowed from so liberally.

Five years later I broke a story about the Stelmach govern-ment’s multimillion-dollar rebranding campaign, which featured a photo of two blond children, in cable-knit sweaters, frolicking on a beach. Except the kids weren’t Albertan. Nor was the beach. It was a stock photo of English children in Northumberland, playing near a castle that, according to legend, had been home to a knight of the Round Table. The Journal story, headlined “Sir Lancelot wants his beach back,” included a ludicrous claim from the government that there had been no intent to deceive. “The children are a symbol of the future,” I was told. “They symbolize that Albertans are a worldly people.”

From the vantage of 2026 it may be hard to understand why these two stories were front-page scandals. With ChatGPT and other large language models running amok in high school and university classrooms, Klein’s cut-and-paste sloppiness seems almost quaint. At least the premier went to the effort of finding sources and copying them himself. Today artificial intelligence has automated plagiarism and made a mockery of our long-held taboos about passing off other people’s work as our own. Intellectual property Original thought What do they matter, when with a few keyboard strokes a program can stitch together a plausible paper—or column Never mind that the AI is stealing or, worse, making stuff up, adding citations and quotations it has simply manufactured.

And oh, how I long for a time when stock photos were the worst of our problems. In 2026 AI doesn’t just plunder bits and pieces from original work to concoct believable fakes, stealing the livelihoods of artists and photographers and graphic designers. AI has made it simple to strip everyday photos of women and girls, turning them into instant fake porn.

Artificial intelligence can manipulate photos and videos so we no longer know what’s true.

Indeed, AI can manipulate photos and videos so that we no longer know what’s true or false and when to believe the evidence of our eyes. When Nekima Levy Armstrong, a Black civil rights activist from Minneapolis, was arrested this past January for protesting, the White House shared an AI-altered photo of her arrest. The doctored version darkened her skin, removed her lipstick, made her look heavier, and turned her proud stoic expression into a flood of messy tears. Amidst all the horrors in Minnesota that month, that incident didn’t get much attention. But the racism, the misogyny and the petty malice chilled me in a different way than the murders of Renee Good and Alex Pretti—the White House was willing to trample the truth with an ease that would have made Goebbels pea-green with envy and Orwell sob into his beer.

I’m no Luddite. I’ve toured the cutting-edge AI labs at the University of Alberta and the Alberta Machine Intelligence Institute. Alberta researchers are world leaders, doing exciting work in machine reinforcement learning and developing AI to do everything from improving the diagnosis and treatment of cancerous tumours to running power plants more efficiently. Nor am I worried about sentient AI becoming self-aware and leading a robot rebellion. What worries me isn’t smart computers—it’s stupid humans, using the crudest energy-sucking generative AI tools to make themselves dumber, debase creativity and undermine the very concept of truth itself. (And I haven’t even touched on the horror stories of people who fall in love with their chatbots, or turn to them for dangerously bad advice, without seeming to understand they’re caught in a narcissistic feedback loop, speaking to their own reflection.)

When I see governments and businesses pushing people to use AI to answer every email, goose every online search or even draft official documents, I can only hope this fever dream will pass, that it will become fashionable again to write and create and think for ourselves. Until then, I’ll be boycotting anything that blurs the line between reality and faked fantasy. Maybe I am a latter-day Luddite. After all, they weren’t afraid of machines. They were afraid of what the Industrial Revolution would do to their communities and societies. Before our own post-industrial AI revolution overwhelms us, let’s decide which human values we’re willing to sacrifice—and which we’re not.

Paula Simons is an Alberta senator and a member of the Standing Senate Committee on Transport and Communications.

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Should Canada ban TikTok? /should-canada-ban-tiktok/ /should-canada-ban-tiktok/#respond Wed, 01 Apr 2026 19:00:38 +0000 / A Dialogue Between Adam Zivo and Robert Diab

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adam zivo Says Yes

National Post columnist

Good evidence suggests that TikTok manipulates its algorithms to promote China’s political interests. This is unsurprising, considering that parent company ByteDance is based in China and beholden to that country’s authoritarian laws, which permit no real private-sector independence. ByteDance denies it engages in censorship, but it refuses to grant researchers access to its algorithms for verification. And several studies have used public data to find indirect signs of manipulation.

A 2023 study by the Network Contagion Research Institute, for example, compared posts associated with certain hashtags across TikTok and Instagram. Their data strongly suggested TikTok heavily suppressed content supportive of Taiwan, Ukraine and Israel, among other subjects. Searching “#Tiananmen” yielded 70,727 posts on Instagram and only 466 on TikTok—a difference of 15,180 per cent. This chasm can’t be plausibly explained by natural differences between platform users. Tellingly, TikTok disabled hashtag searches for most politically sensitive subjects days after this study was published.

Another study from Cornell University, in 2024, which created sock-puppet TikTok accounts and measured the content they were recommended, concluded that TikTok favoured Republican content during the US presidential election.

In light of these findings, TikTok is better understood as a propaganda tool than a neutral social media platform. Combined with its considerable popularity (some 44 per cent of Canadians under age 18 are users), this is sufficient to justify a ban. We simply cannot give China the power to hijack our nation’s political discourse at its discretion.

Our government has a duty to protect its citizens from foreign interference. A fair marketplace of ideas is essential to democracy, but this forum is degraded when foreign adversaries bestow artificial advantages upon certain ideas. The solution is not to ban the associated beliefs, which would be illiberal, but to force them to compete without distortionary patronage.

When the federal government removed Russia Today from Canadian airwaves in 2022, for example, that didn’t entail a ban on pro-Russian beliefs. Similarly, TikTok users can migrate to other social media platforms and continue expressing their beliefs without the interventions of Beijing’s invisible hand. In this way, liberal values are maximized, not diminished, while national security and sovereignty are strengthened.

Although TikTok’s competitors have their own flaws, they’re often an improvement. Meta (parent company of Facebook and Instagram) and Reddit are foreign-owned, but they’re publicly traded. Their executives are bound by fiduciary duties to a diversified set of risk-adverse shareholders. This functionally prohibits them from using overly politicized algorithms.

In contrast, X is privately owned by Elon Musk. While he allegedly tweaked his platform’s algorithms to favour Republicans and his own self-promotion, these distortions appear to be far weaker than Beijing’s censorship. Should they worsen, however, then that platform could simply be banned too. This is an ever-evolving battle, after all.

 

robert diab says no

Thompson Rivers University law professor

Roughly a third of Canadians are now on TikTok, relying on the platform for news, entertainment and connection. The platform gathers massive amounts of personal information and shapes our political conversations through its algorithm. The Chinese government has influence over TikTok through its Beijing-based parent company, ByteDance Inc. Under Chinese law, authorities can demand that companies hand over data and support state intelligence or security requests, and ByteDance is believed to have done this with US journalists and protesters in Hong Kong. Concerns that China will use TikTok to interfere in our elections or carry out espionage here are real.

But a ban on TikTok in Canada would be unlawful and excessive. We can address our concerns effectively without it.

Canadians enjoy freedom of expression under the Charter. This includes both a right to speak and a right to hear what others have to say. Newspapers and social media companies also have expressive rights—to curate content. Yet no right is absolute. Free speech is subject to reasonable limits. But banning TikTok would be unreasonable.

Our Supreme Court has held that “a complete ban on a form of expression is more difficult to justify than a partial ban. The government must show that only a full prohibition will enable it to achieve its objective.” The question is whether anything short of a total ban on TikTok would address our security interests.

US lawmakers recently faced the same issue. Their response was instructive. They shared our government’s main concerns. TikTok gathers information China could use for espionage. And with 170 million Americans on the platform, the US citizenry is vulnerable to political interference through content manipulation. Congress’s simple solution: ByteDance must divest of its US subsidiary or be shut down. A conditional ban.

TikTok challenged the law at the US Supreme Court and lost. The court’s reasoning helps us see why a total ban in Canada wouldn’t likely survive Charter scrutiny. Speech advocates argued that Meta and other platforms collect similar user data and that China could easily spread disinformation through other platforms. But in the court’s view, “TikTok’s scale and susceptibility to foreign adversary control” justified treating it differently. And the conditional ban didn’t limit “substantially more speech than was necessary” to address national security.

Canada’s Supreme Court would likely agree that China’s control over ByteDance raises “pressing and substantial” concerns. But, again, a total ban would be a reasonable limit on free expression only if there were no other viable way to protect security. The possibility of ordering ByteDance to divest ownership of TikTok Canada points to one such alternative.

Expressive rights are vital to a free and democratic society. Our concern isn’t with TikTok itself; it’s a platform that provides millions of Canadians a vital source of connection and a livelihood for many through sponsorships. Keeping TikTok on our own terms would allow us to regulate both the platform and the company behind it, striking the right balance between security and freedom.

 

adam zivo responds to robert diab

Robert Diab argues that, although TikTok poses a threat to Canada’s security, a total ban isn’t necessary—or indeed would be unlawful—because the federal government could simply regulate the platform instead. He cites the US as an example: Washington successfully pressured ByteDance to transfer its US operations to American corporate partners, so why not do something similar in Canada?

I actually agree with him that regulating TikTok in Canada—if possible—would be preferable to an outright ban. Where we differ, though, is on whether such regulation is realistic. When I submitted my opening argument, the Trump administration hadn’t yet negotiated a divestment deal with ByteDance, and doing so seemed unlikely. While circumstances have changed since then, I remain pessimistic about Canada’s capacity to replicate this solution.

The Trump administration’s deal requires ByteDance to create a new subsidiary to oversee US operations, to be called the TikTok US Data Security Company (“USDS”). Ownership of the USDS will be sold off to diverse American investors, with ByteDance being limited to a minority stake of below 20 per cent. TikTok’s content algorithm will then be leased to the USDS, allowing the subsidiary to produce a new copy of it from the ground up.

While the details of the arrangement remain unclear, it appears the deal will essentially create an American clone of TikTok, with its own parallel content algorithm and US-based data hosting, which will be seamlessly connected to ByteDance’s version. This should prevent China from using politicized content algorithms to directly control what American users see. Yet, as such users could still consume international TikTok content, which would still be shaped by ByteDance’s invisible hand, Beijing would likely retain other, less direct avenues of influence over American opinions.

Let’s take the Tiananmen Square massacre as a case study. While USDS discourse on the topic would be unconstrained, American users could still conclude that Tiananmen was unimportant, because international TikTok posts on the event are—thanks to ByteDance’s censorship—largely absent. ByteDance could also algorithmically nudge international users into producing more posts in support of particular views, causing those perspectives to be overrepresented to Americans even if USDS content algorithms remain politically neutral. In this way, TikTok could still be considered a security risk. While I’m agnostic on whether this risk would be tolerable—mostly because so much of this conversation is currently speculative—this is important to flag.

Could we force ByteDance to divest Could we use the US version of TikTok Both options seem unlikely.

But the more relevant issue to this dialogue is whether Canada could either replicate this solution or transition to using the USDS version of TikTok. Both options seem unlikely, although the latter seems more plausible.

The US, despite being a superpower, was able to wrangle the USDS agreement only after years of fraught negotiations and ultimatums. I can’t see how Canada, being much weaker, could secure similar concessions. Further, if Ottawa could carve out its own subsidiary from ByteDance’s global empire, this would set a precedent for other middle powers to do the same. Beijing would oppose having its prized soft-power machine divided up like this. Balkanizing TikTok into a federation of subsidiaries would also likely reduce operational stability, lowering the value of the TikTok ecosystem as a whole.

A proposal to transfer Canada’s TikTok operations to the USDS could find support in Washington, as absorbing the Canadian market would benefit US investors. Canada’s information space would be less sovereign, and would—much like Meta and Reddit today—be substantially controlled by US regulators and corporate interests. This would still represent a significant improvement over the status quo. But Beijing has no reason to voluntarily cede an international market to a US-controlled subsidiary. Perhaps the US could force such a concession, but given the relative unimportance of the Canadian market it’s hard to imagine there being an appetite for such a move. Why would Washington expend finite political capital on this?

With the information currently available to us, I don’t see how Canada could realistically regulate TikTok for the foreseeable future. That could eventually change, because the situation is dynamic and the implications of the USDS are still unclear. For now, though, the choice is between maintaining the status quo or moving towards a ban, with the former option being clearly unacceptable.

 

robert diab responds to adam zivo

The thrust of my interlocutor’s argument is that TikTok is a propaganda organ like Russia Today, and if the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) was justified in banning RT in 2022, we should ban TikTok as well. TikTok, he argues, is a propaganda organ because it manipulates its algorithms in China’s interests by boosting or suppressing content in ways that Instagram or Reddit don’t. And since roughly half of young Canadians are on TikTok, anything short of a total ban would “give China the power to hijack our nation’s political discourse.”

This argument fails on three counts. Protecting democracy wasn’t why we banned RT; it was hate speech. We couldn’t have a version of RT without hate speech. There was no reasonable means of accommodation. And if Instagram and Reddit—in being more neutral platforms—are proof that TikTok is a propaganda organ, then TikTok doesn’t pose a serious threat to our democracy, since roughly the same number of Canadians are also on Instagram or other platforms where other voices can be heard.

But even if we couldn’t have had a less harmful version of Russia Today, we can with TikTok. And Tiktok poses far less of a threat to begin with.

The details matter. The CRTC’s decision called RT’s content abusive, since “it tends or is likely to expose the Ukrainian people to hatred or contempt on the basis of their race, national or ethnic origin.” RT’s content was also contrary to the policy objectives of the Broadcasting Act: “Most notably, it would not serve to safeguard, enrich and strengthen the cultural, political, social and economic fabric of Canada.” So, yes, it was about sovereignty in part, but primarily about social harmony.

The CRTC conceded that a ban is a form of censorship. But it held this to be a reasonable limit on our Charter right to free speech, since Canadians can still access RT online. We never got to see whether a court would agree; no one challenged the ban. I suspect it would have survived a court challenge, because nothing short of a ban would suffice to address the harm at issue. Broadcasters could have been forced to play a “viewer advisory” when airing RT. But this wouldn’t make the content any less hateful or divisive. The choice was to take RT or leave it.

Rather than ban TikTok, we could insist that it meet conditions, e.g., make its algorithm more transparent.

The same isn’t true of TikTok. Rather than banning the platform, we could insist that it meet certain conditions. Make its algorithm more transparent. Follow rules about data collection, and keep user data in Canada. TikTok’s compliance would largely address our concerns. Unlike RT, we can have TikTok on our terms—at least in theory.

But how serious are these concerns to begin with Adam Zivo sees TikTok’s main threat as its power to manipulate algorithms so as to shape opinion at scale in Canada as China sees fit. Does it really have this power?

TikTok is no doubt popular among young Canadians, but it’s neither their exclusive nor their primary source for news and opinion. A study in 2023 of media consumption patterns in Canada found that Gen Z got its news mainly from YouTube (41 per cent), followed by Instagram (38 per cent) and TikTok (33 per cent). Some 46 per cent of all generations surveyed still reported television news as being a trusted source, and 27 per cent still rely on radio. Other studies confirm the staying power of traditional news media, even noting a trend among Gen Z to watch more broadcast news.

No single platform or channel has the power to “hijack” our media, because none of them has a captive audience. TikTok might claim 53 per cent of Canadian teens as monthly users, but Snapchat (42 per cent), Instagram (40 per cent) and Facebook (37 per cent) aren’t far behind. Gen Z and Millennials are also well aware of the power of algorithms to influence what they see, with roughly a third reporting that they fact-check what they see on social media by cross-referencing to other sources or consulting family and friends.

It’s telling that neither the Canadian nor the US government has framed its primary concern with TikTok in terms of its power to hijack our political discourse. When Canada ordered TikTok to close its offices in Vancouver and Toronto in 2024, the only rationale it gave was that allowing TikTok personnel to remain would be “injurious to national security.” The platform was fine; the offices weren’t. In the challenge at the US Supreme Court to Congress’s order for ByteDance to divest from TikTok, the government cited concerns about data collection and blackmail, not the fear of propaganda.

If a platform tries to manipulate us through its algorithms, the solution is not to ban it but to make it play by the rules.

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The Case for Sticking Around /the-case-for-sticking-around/ /the-case-for-sticking-around/#respond Thu, 01 Jan 2026 10:00:43 +0000 / Let’s not quit Canada. Let’s make it better for everyone—including Albertans

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My maternal grandmother, my Oma, was the person I loved best in the world, and my own personal heroine. She’d been born in a German-speaking community in what we now call Ukraine, the daughter of a Lutheran schoolteacher. Passionate and beautiful, with a head of fiery red hair, she had trained and worked as a teacher herself, in Stalin’s Soviet Union. She made a somewhat unusual marriage, to a quiet, bookish Mennonite man named Jacob Dyck. They lived in a Mennonite colony called Felsenbach, where my mother and her two sisters were born.

The Second World War ripped their world apart. When the Germans marched into Ukraine, my pacifist grandfather was scooped up and forced to join the German army, where, it seems likely, he was killed on the Russian front. My Oma and her three daughters, caught in the bloodlands between Stalin and Hitler, fled west, through Czechoslovakia and finally into Germany, which was then under heavy Allied air bombardment.

My grandmother scavenged for food, found bomb shelters for her children, and somehow dragged them safely to the American zone of occupation. It was a lucky break. If they had stayed in eastern Germany, the area liberated by Russian troops, the occupying Soviets would have treated them harshly as traitors.

My Oma, a pragmatist, decided that bombed-out post-war Germany held few prospects for her and her little girls. When Mennonite relatives from her husband’s side of the family, who had immigrated to the Canadian prairies long before the war, offered to sponsor her to come to Canada, she snatched at the opportunity. She and her three children travelled by ship to Halifax, and then by train across Canada. They settled briefly in Saskatchewan, before ending up in Barrhead, Alberta, where a significant German-speaking population lived.

My sophisticated, educated, poetry-loving Oma, who spoke no English, found hard work as a housekeeper and hospital washerwoman. Their first Barrhead home was a converted chicken coop. But slowly, after years of struggle, things improved. Once her daughters grew up, my grandmother moved to Edmonton. She opened a boarding house, then started buying up rental properties, until she became a successful entrepreneur with a healthy real estate portfolio.

Growing up, I thought my grandmother’s story was a wonderful example of the Canadian dream in action: a hard-working penniless refugee takes sanctuary in Canada, learns the language, achieves economic prosperity and leaves a financial and cultural legacy that sustains her children and grandchildren.

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So imagine how shocked I was when, decades after my Oma’s death, my mother announced bitterly that she wished her mother had never come to Canada.

As a refugee child who spoke no English, my mother had spent her Canadian childhood in poverty and social isolation. She was bullied at school. She never had the chance to go to university. How much better her own life would have been, she said fiercely, if she had grown up in West Germany, surrounded by extended family, able to speak her own language, able to pursue her own educational dreams.

I felt as though I’d been slapped in the face.

My first feeling of hurt was personal. In my mother’s alternative reality, she never would have met my father, and my brother and I would never have been born. It felt like a rejection of my very existence.

My second response was a retreat into logic. My grandmother, I argued, could have had no idea that Germany would rebound as it did after the war. She was part of a huge diaspora of post-war immigrants who moved to Canada in part because they could not imagine how Europe would recover. She took a huge risk and made the best choice she could, based on available evidence.

But as I lay in bed that night and turned over my mother’s words in my head, I realized why her remarks had bothered me so much. She hadn’t just rejected me or slighted the memory of my Oma. It wasn’t just that she had rejected my timeline of the multiverse. She had rejected my myth of the Canadian dream, and the ideal of Canada that I so cherished.

I started to wonder. Was she right Had I bought into a romanticized sense of nationalism that clouded my view of what this country actually was Especially for immigrants and refugees For every newcomer who finds success, as my grandmother eventually did, how many others face poverty, bigotry, alienation and the frustration of their hopes and dreams?

Naively, perhaps, I had never questioned the notion that becoming Canadian had been, for my family, the best possible outcome.

My patriotism, no doubt, had been nurtured by the Canada in which I’d grown up. I came of age in the era of Peter Lougheed and Pierre Trudeau, when people thought seriously and debated fiercely about what Canada meant to them. I was a teenager when the first Quebec referendum happened, when the Constitution was patriated, when the Charter of Rights and Freedoms became law. My coming of age also corresponded to a coming of age of Canadian arts and culture, the era of CanCon and CanLit. As a teen I plowed through Margaret Laurence, Margaret Atwood, Robertson Davies, Alice Munro and Mordecai Richler—the first true Canadian canon. (Books, in fact, that were all introduced to me by my brilliant autodidact mother.)

Later, at university, I discovered the works of the western modernists and post-modernists who showed me my own western Canadian world through fresh eyes: W.O. Mitchell, Sheila Watson, Robert Kroetsch, George Bowering. Small wonder that I grew up with an enthusiasm for Canada and a sense of its verdant possibilities. We were a country finding its voice, feeling its power, breaking free of the last legal vestiges of British colonialism and establishing a separate cultural identity from the United States.

Of course, my teens and early twenties also coincided with the economic and political turmoil of the National Energy Program, the rise of the Western Canada Concept party, the election of Gordon Kesler as Alberta’s first officially separatist MLA. Alberta had plenty of historical, economic and political reasons to feel aggrieved. But separatists then had little political power. Provincially, they were kept in check by Lougheed, a fierce champion for a stronger Alberta within a united Canada. But those 1980s separatists also lost the battle of public opinion in no small part because many of their highest-profile members, such as Doug Christie and Jim Keegstra, were virulently antisemitic Holocaust deniers, which undercut their public credibility. For me, the child of a Jewish father and a German refugee mother, there was no appeal in the vision of an independent state constructed on a matrix of hate and historical revisionism.

There still isn’t.

 

That fight with my late mother happened decades ago. But in the last few months, I have found myself revisiting our long-ago quarrel. Every time another Alberta separatist talks about quitting Canada, I feel that same sense of anger and confusion. Every time another Alberta separatist blames his perceived problems on immigrants and refugees, I shudder.

A year ago Canadians across the country, Albertans included, stood united and “elbows up” against the threats to our sovereignty made by Donald Trump. We all felt flushed with patriotic pride. Now, an angry minority of Albertans—who fear the impact that growing public concerns about climate change and Indigenous rights might have on Alberta’s energy economy—are trying to bamboozle Albertans into quitting the country, based on the false promise that a separate Alberta might somehow resist the imperative of energy transition. To add insult to injury, it appears that at least some of those separatists are funding their campaign to break up the country with American dollars. And, somehow, the powers that be in this province are giving in to this nonsense while simultaneously stirring up xenophobia and blaming immigrants for Alberta’s problems, taking a page straight from the racist Trumpian playbook.

It’s unfathomable.

We are privileged to live in a country that values peace and inclusion and the rule of law. A country that encourages entrepreneurship and economic opportunity. A country that strives to balance individual rights and freedoms with the good of the collective community. A country where healthcare and public education are rights and gun ownership is not. A country where women control their own bodies and choose their own clothing, whether that’s a niqab or a bikini.

We’re not a country of polarization, but a country that values creative compromise, because we were born out of creative compromise.

There are lots of common-sense reasons to reject the separatist argument. Why would Alberta, a landlocked province whose economy is based on exporting commodities, deny itself free access to ports and tidewater and international export markets?

It would be equally absurd for our boom-and-bust economy, which relies on periodic influxes of large pools of labour, to cut itself off from mobile Canadian workers. Alberta has a population of just five million. How many would flee the People’s Independent Republic of Alberta, taking their money, their talent and their skills with them?

Then there are the legal, constitutional and treaty realities. Alberta can’t just quit Canada unilaterally. We’re bound by the British North America Act of 1867, the Alberta Act of 1905, the Constitution Act of 1982 and the Clarity Act of 2000. More fundamentally, the political unit we call Alberta is constructed on the traditional Indigenous lands that are subject to Treaties 6, 7 and 8. Those chiefs have made it plain that their treaties are with the Crown in right of Canada, and not with the province. To them, separation is a non-starter.

The idea that we could become the 51st state is even sillier. Legally and politically, how could we function as a chunk of America embedded within Canada From a national security perspective, how could Canada allow such a thing, at a time when the US government is threatening our sovereignty Besides, if Albertans actually understood how much less power and autonomy American states and governors have than Canadian provinces and premiers do, they’d realize we would have far less self-determination and political leverage as one of 51 states than as one of 10 provinces.

As for those who say we need the threat of separation, to better our bargaining position, consider how economically ruinous it would be to frighten away investors and capital by creating political chaos and uncertainty just to prove some ill-defined point. Never mind the dangers of alienating our fellow Canadians in this time of crisis. Posturing and threatening to separate could turn other provinces against us, making it harder to do things like build pipelines or power lines—or transition to a new economy that transcends the combustion of carbon.

 

However, enumerating the downsides of separatism isn’t enough. It’s like telling someone to stay in an unhappy marriage because it would be too expensive and legally complicated to divorce. We can’t stay just because leaving would cost too much and make the rest of the family angry. If we want to make the case for Canada, we can’t just rebut the economic arguments. We have to stay for love—and the promise of something better.

I still love Canada, or the ideal, at least, that Canada at its best represents. I try to be clear-eyed about it. To acknowledge the pain and injustice of colonialism, the calculated starvation and dispossession of First Nations, Metis and Inuit peoples, the centuries of intergenerational trauma.

Similarly, we need to learn and acknowledge the stories of successive waves of immigrants and refugees who faced racism and rejection on their arrival here—the stories of the Chinese head tax, the First World War internment of Ukrainians and Italians, Canada’s refusal to admit pre-war Jewish refugees, the internment of Japanese people during the Second World War, the post-war immigration policies that discriminated against applicants from Africa, Asia and the Caribbean, the post 9/11 Islamophobia, and the discrimination against Black Canadians that dates from the time of slavery and persists to this day. As we begin 2026, how many new Canadians, facing economic struggle and rising xenophobia, will wonder—as my mother did—whether the sacrifice was worth it?

Happily it is the genius of Canada to accept our mistakes and learn from them.

We are a unique social experiment.

Many other countries around the world have an ethnic homogeneity that gives them unity.

Many other countries around the world have their own creation myth, an origin story that defines them.

Canada has neither.

Blood and soil ethno-nationalism doesn’t work here, because Canada has been multicultural since our very beginning, long before the first traders and colonizers and settlers arrived, home not to one single Indigenous culture but to hundreds of distinct languages and traditions.

To make the case for Canada, we can’t just rebut the economic arguments. We have to stay for love.

Our colonial roots were both French and English—not to mention Scottish and Irish and Welsh, so we’ve been multilingual since the first Europeans landed.

No other country has been as successful at creating a truly multicultural nation of tolerance and inclusion. And it’s not some elite “liberal” notion that Laurentian Canada has imposed on Alberta. Far from it. Multiculturalism as national public policy was first championed in 1971 by Harry Strom, the Social Credit premier who preceded Lougheed. Back then, multiculturalism was pushed hardest by Alberta’s Ukrainian community, who chafed under the limitations of the old “two founding nations” bicultural paradigm. You might well call official multiculturalism Alberta’s greatest gift to Canada, since it has enabled us to become a global powerhouse ideally equipped to compete in a global economy.

It’s even more miraculous because we have no unifying mythology to hold this huge nation, diverse not just in culture but in geography, together. In a country this enormous it’s natural for the “regions” to feel cut off from the economic and political power of the centre.

Alberta isn’t alone in feeling this. Ask anyone from Whitehorse to Windsor, Rimouski to Glace Bay. It is a constant struggle simply to manage a country as vast as ours, where regions have competing interests and where some of the stale structures of Confederation are no longer fit for purpose. Yet we do it all without a vapid rah-rah narrative to bind us.

So many other nation-states have their stories of revolution and their revolutionary heroes. We have, instead, the promise of peace, order and good government—hardly stuff to stir souls. As for charismatic heroes Something in the Canadian character seems allergic to them. For whatever reasons of history and culture, the dominant Canadian world view is a sardonic one. Our Indigenous mythologies, coast to coast to coast, are full of trickster gods—Raven and Coyote, Napi and Wisakedjak, Glooscap and Amaguq. I think perhaps their mischievous, irreverent spirit lingers in this land.

Canadians are anti-romantics. We take a darkly impish delight in cutting our public figures and celebrities down to size, and in quietly mocking our own icons and institutions. Maybe it has to do with weather and geography. Wherever you go in Canada, it’s hard not to be humbled by the vastness, the scale, the wildness of this place. It’s hard to nurture delusions of grandeur here, and harder still to indulge such pretensions in others. Irony is our idiom. And Alberta—which invented improv theatre sports, and produced Three Dead Trolls in a Baggie, The Irrelevant Show, two-fifths of the Kids in the Hall, Andrew Phung and the best years of SCTV—certainly shares that ironic irreverence.

Canadians likewise get quietly embarrassed by performative parades of patriotism. So when we defend “Canada” against the zealotry of Alberta separatists, we often take refuge in economic and legal arguments instead of emotive ones.

 

So I’m calling on us to do something un-Canadian: to put aside our habitual self-deprecation and stand up for the country we love—and reject the idea of a sovereign Alberta whose founding principles seem to be miserliness, xenophobia and transphobia. We need to raise our voices to denounce the dark fantasy of a landlocked, petulant petrostate dedicated to hoarding wealth, denouncing immigrants, denying climate change, spurning vaccines, protecting patriarchy and endangering queer kids. Because Alberta’s current crop of separatists don’t just want to leave Canada. They seem to want to opt out of the 21st century entirely.

But Albertans aren’t quitters. So let’s not quit Canada. Let’s fight to make it better, fairer and more prosperous for everyone, Albertans included.

On Canada’s coat of arms you’ll see the Latin motto Desiderantes meliorem patriam. In English: “They desire a better country.”

To me, there could not be a better, or more Canadian, motto. Canada isn’t a perfect country. But it is made up of millions of people, like my Oma, who came here because they were looking for a better country, a place to make a new start. And it’s home to tough-minded, unsentimental millions who see Canada’s shortcomings and failings and needs, and work hard to make it a better country. Because Canada is a work in progress, a country of aspiration. We’re not looking to be “great again”—we’re striving to be a little bit better every day.

Alberta’s current crop of separatists don’t just want to leave Canada. They seem to want to opt out of the 21st century entirely.

I love Canada because it accepted my paternal Jewish grandparents as immigrants and allowed them to escape the poverty and pogroms of the Russian Pale. I love Canada because it accepted my German maternal family, despite the fact Canada had just suffered through a brutal war against Hitler’s Reich. I love Canada because it protects the rights of my queer family members, including the beloved daughter I named after my beloved Oma. I love Canada because its Charter of Rights and Freedoms has protected me throughout my career as a journalist, allowing me to report the truth even when it hurt. I love Canada because it has repeatedly found the honesty and courage to confront its faults and worked to make life here more fair.

And I love Alberta, because the Alberta I love is open, adventurous, brave, energetic and undaunted. I will not allow hatemongers and traitors and bitter quitters to speak for me. What do I want for my Alberta next For us to embrace our full potential, to charge into the future, without leashing ourselves to some false vision of the past.

In his song “Anthem,” Leonard Cohen, one of my favourite Canadians, sang:

Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That’s how the light gets in

Canada has its fair share of cracks. But instead of exploiting those to tear the country apart, let’s work with our fellow Canadians to mend them. We can’t be a perfect country—or pretend to be one by papering over the cracks. We must let the light in to see our way ahead

Appointed to the Senate in 2018, independent senator Paula Simons has been an Edmonton Journal reporter and columnist and a CBC radio producer. Her podcast is Alberta Unbound.

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The Politics of Polling /polling-politics/ /polling-politics/#respond Thu, 01 Jan 2026 10:00:05 +0000 / ...with Alberta Separation on the ballot

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Within days of each other in May of 2025, three polls were released on the topic of Alberta separation. Pollara showed support among Albertans for separating from Canada at 24 per cent. Leger found support for leaving was much higher: a whopping 41 per cent. Then an Abacus poll came out. “Remainers” could breathe a sigh of relief. Support for separating was at only 18 per cent.

Ordinary Albertans would be forgiven for not knowing what to believe.

Further fuzzying matters was Pollara’s declaration that its figure on separation was “the highest recorded by the company” since 2021. But even this surging support for Alberta separation was dwarfed by the Leger poll. And then Abacus flatly declared “Support for separation is low.” Its report concluded: “There is not a widespread appetite among the public for such a significant constitutional rupture.”

Polling—also called surveying—takes many different forms, and in Alberta this year we’ll see poll numbers touted by separatists, and other numbers cited by their federalist opponents. With so much on the line, how useful is polling for providing accurate insights into what people want?

 

Public opinion polling started in Canada during the 1940s. The first national poll was conducted by the Liberal Party in 1942 to try to determine the likely outcome of a plebiscite on conscription. The first election poll was done by the Canadian Institute of Public Opinion in 1945. The first political poll—used to help craft a party’s electoral strategy—was by the Quebec Liberals in 1959. Yet only since the 1980s have national polls been conducted regularly. Polling of public opinion at the provincial level is now routine as well.

Sometimes polling itself becomes the story. For example, during Alberta’s 2012 election, most pollsters projected a win by the Wildrose, led by Danielle Smith. As it turned out, the Progressive Conservatives under Alison Redford were the victors by a comfortable margin. “Clearly something’s wrong,” pollster Bruce Cameron told the CBC afterward. “I’m concerned about the impact on the credibility of the profession.”

Similarly, the 2017 civic election in Calgary was marked by conflicting polls, one of which suggested incumbent mayor Naheed Nenshi was losing badly. A post-election investigation by the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association (MRIA) noted that “accurate public opinion polling can provide voters with information about the views of their fellow citizens [and] draw voters’ attention to particular candidates and issues.” It found that several polls by Mainstreet Research, commissioned by Postmedia, had been “seriously, methodologically flawed” and had “significantly affected the course of the campaign,” including by throwing Nenshi on the defensive and dooming the third-place candidate’s campaign.

The chief differences in polling techniques can be categorized according to the how (methodology) and the what (the content of the questions).

The “how” of polling constantly evolves. In his history of polling in Canada, Christopher Adams suggests polling had several precursors, including censuses, the first of which was conducted in 1666 by the intendant of New France. Another precursor is the market survey. In 1929, for example, the Canadian Business Research Bureau interviewed thousands of users of various products to learn what they “actually think and know about the goods.” Over time, market research acquired the sheen of academic rigour. W.W. Goforth, who taught economics at McGill, was hired by the ad agency Cockfield, Brown & Co. in 1928. In this early period, data-gathering included face-to-face interviews, telephone interviews and mail-in surveys.

The possibility of polling errors became apparent even in those early days. In 1919 the Winnipeg Free Press asked readers to complete a questionnaire about cars and accessories and mail it back. Questions included “How much have you spent for accessories [since the car purchase]?” Bertram Brooker, an ad executive, wrote in Marketing and Business Management in 1924 that surveys of this sort presented many problems, including an inability to control the sample size and to screen respondents. This survey, for example, failed to screen people who didn’t own or regularly use their car.

 

A major development in polling in the 21st century has been the decline in telephone surveys and the rise of the online variety. Canada’s Angus Reid Institute, for example, conducts all of its surveys and studies through the internet, citing a Pew Research study showing that response rates for phone interviews had dropped to only 6 per cent in 2018.

One pollster that remains attached to telephone surveying is Janet Brown. The company she uses, Trend Research, is based out of Edmonton. “The secret sauce is Albertans calling Albertans,” says Brown. She uses cell numbers and landlines, and says people are more inclined to stay on the line—or pick up in the first place—if they believe they’re talking to someone in Edmonton rather than in Montreal or outside Canada entirely. The company makes five attempts to reach a person before giving up.

The MRIA report on Calgary’s misleading polls in 2017 singled out Mainstreet for not calling enough cell phones, thus ignoring younger voters and creating an unrepresentative sample.

Frank Graves, founder and president of EKOS Research, however, isn’t as sold on telephone polling. “There is a tendency to overemphasize the importance of the mode of contact,” he says. “Whether or not you call someone, email them, do an intercept survey in the street or in their home—they all have different strengths and weaknesses.”

What Brown, MRIA and Graves would agree on, however, is that good polling requires a representative sample. This means, as the Pew Research Centre puts it, that any sample is “assumed to be representative of the larger population on any question we might be interested in.” Pollsters use various techniques to improve the reliability of a sample. One is weighting, or adjusting the relative contribution of respondents. People who participate in polls don’t necessarily reflect the general population. For example, they’re more likely to have a postsecondary degree. The pollster’s answer to this problem is to “weight down” the responses of postsecondary graduates in their final results.

Brown argues that polling in Alberta tends to underestimate the conservative vote and overestimate the progressive one. “Pollsters make the same mistakes over and over again,” she told the CBC in November 2020. It’s a message she reiterated to Alberta Views. Her theory is that progressive Albertans are more likely to participate in polls and that it takes strenuous attempts to reach more-conservative voters—by phone—to correct for this bias. “I sometimes joke that progressive people will tell you their opinions all day long,” she says. “Conservatives are a little bit more cautious, a little bit more reticent, and don’t want to be probed as much.”

Members of the public are sometimes invited to participate in opinion surveying. Once recruited, they’re part of what’s called a “panel”—a cohort asked to respond to survey questions. The most reliable panels are selected through probability-based sampling; the very best kind—online or offline—are those in which respondents are chosen at random. To do that perfectly would require a comprehensive list of the entire population or at least the target population. But such lists aren’t usually available, so pollsters use a variety of probability-based techniques to try to ensure that their samples (their panels) are constituted in such a way as to minimize sampling error.

It is important to distinguish between probability-based panels and opt-in samples. “Opt-in” means the respondents weren’t chosen at random; rather, they were invited to participate. The Pew Research Centre has concluded that opt-in sampling is only half as accurate as probability-based panels. However, opt-in sampling can be conducted in such a way as to improve its reliability. Canada’s Angus Reid Forum is an online panel composed of people selected through online ads on numerous, diverse websites. The company claims its panels “reflect the general population by continually verifying and recruiting so that the socio-demographic characteristics of each sampling region match actual sub-populations according to both the census and electoral data.”

 

Polling is, of course, ultimately about the answers to the questions—the what. Questions can be asked in numerous ways, including as neutrally as possible. Or questions can be selective, or leading, or presented in a specific order if a certain result is desired. Sometimes this takes the form of what is called “push polling.”

This is what the provincial government’s Alberta Next Panel has been accused of. In early 2025 Albertans were invited by the government to give their opinions, ostensibly to help the government choose its policies. A St. Albert Gazette editorial in August 2025 argued the surveying conducted through the Alberta Next website was more accurately described as push polling. “You can frame the questions in such a way that every answer is a version of your view, or [the questions] simply don’t include any option to oppose that view,” wrote Gazette staff.

The Alberta Next website, for example, offered ideas on “how to strengthen our sovereignty,” including ending equalization, creating an Alberta Pension Plan, forming a provincial police force, and withholding social services from immigrants. University of Calgary political science professor Lisa Young said, “The subject matter of the Alberta Next questions and videos are very much informed by the groups that we might call the UCP base.” The survey itself, which closed October 10, purported merely to consult Albertans.

On the topic of immigration, however, respondents (whether online or at the town halls) were required to first watch a short video, then were asked “Should Alberta take more control of the immigration system to counter Ottawa’s open-borders policies?” They were then presented with the following statement: “Ottawa approved 1.2 million people under the permanent and temporary immigrant streams in 2024. This is four times more than was approved in 2014 under prime minister Stephen Harper.”

Finally, respondents were asked to choose from three options:

• Far too much—immigration should be brought down [to] under 2014 levels;
• Definitely too high, and immigration needs to be brought down to 2014 levels again;
• Acceptable—I have no issue with immigration levels being this high.

Given this context, respondents’ answers were a foregone conclusion.

As of late November, none of the Alberta Next survey results had been released to the public. But premier Smith says she’ll use those results to assess which proposals will move to a referendum and which her government will legislate directly.

A investigation in 2017 found several polls in Calgary had been “seriously, methodologically flawed.”

Polling on support for Alberta political parties is conducted regularly. For those that pay for it, Janet Brown and journalist Paul McLoughlin release the monthly “Wild Ride” update, showing, e.g., how the UCP and NDP are faring. Accompanying charts track party support over time.

Polling such as this is sometimes criticized for its oversized impact on public discourse. For example, a poll by Brown in the late stage of the 2023 campaign, which contradicted other polls by showing the UCP ahead in Calgary, was leaked to the press. As political commentator David Climenhaga wrote, “This [survey] does change the narrative of the last two weeks of the election campaign—and that’s why it was leaked.”

Episodes like this colour the public perception of polling. “If you took a public opinion poll about polls, odds are that a majority would offer some rather unfavorable views of pollsters and the uses to which their work is put,” wrote E.J. Dionne Jr. and Thomas E. Mann for the Brookings Institution. The authors add that “public opinion is an illusive commodity.” Not all polls are created equal. Some are well constructed and designed to be credible; some are not. Some polls do seem to push people to give the answer that those who commissioned the polls want.

This is arguably what Brown herself did when she found support for a potential provincial pension plan. The poll, commissioned by the Smith government and conducted in April and May of 2025, asked Albertans how they would vote in a referendum on a variety of proposals, including “Replacing the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) with an Alberta Pension Plan (APP) that guaranteed all Alberta seniors the same or better benefits than the Canada Pension Plan.” Fifty-five per cent of respondents said they’d vote for the APP, while 45 per cent said they’d vote against it. But as CBC journalist Jason Markusoff noted, the question added a new nuance to the previous binary of CPP vs. APP. It posited a “guarantee of no financial risk for pensioners,” he wrote, “an assurance that could depend largely on how much of the total CPP pie Alberta would get as its starting pot, a figure that remains in dispute.” Who wouldn’t prefer something with no downside?

Whether using leading questions or not, polling has an effect on its audience. “There are concerns that inaccurate voting intention polling has a negative impact on the conduct of elections due to its influence on voters, the media and political parties,” concluded the Select Committee on Political Polling and Digital Media, struck by the UK’s House of Lords. The committee was a response to three consecutive cases of polling getting it wrong during critical moments: the UK’s 2015 and 2017 general elections and the 2016 vote on leaving the European Union—the infamous Brexit referendum.

The committee noted a number of theories on how polling results impact voters. One of these is the “bandwagon effect,” in which people get on board with an idea because they see many other people doing the same. The obverse of this is the “underdog effect,” which can encourage people to “adopt a minority view out of sympathy.” Polling can also affect voter turnout. Academics showed the committee evidence “that turnout is higher in elections that are anticipated to be close.” Conversely, if a poll tells someone that their candidate is losing badly, they might not bother voting at all.

 

So what do we really know about support for Alberta separation In an interview with Alberta Views, Dennis Modry, the founder of the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP), which is leading the separatist charge, says his movement enjoys a “plurality” of support, meaning that more Albertans want to separate from Canada than remain undecided or want to stay in Canada. And he argues polling underestimates separatist support. “We still live in an era of cancel culture,” he says. “Oftentimes, people won’t respond to a question that they perceive as possibly controversial or that has any risk of cancelling them in any way.”

A further wrinkle is that not all polling companies are created the same. Cardinal Research, for example, released a poll in October 2025 suggesting that 11 per cent of decided voters in Alberta support the new provincial Republican Party. It was the first poll to show significant support for the separatist Republicans; CBC polls analyst Éric Grenier called it “a bit of a jaw-dropper.” But a Toronto Star story noted that Cameron Davies, leader of the Republican Party, had until recently been a part-owner of Cardinal Research. Until the Star story came out, media coverage omitted that potential bias. The Lethbridge Herald quoted Davies: “What [the poll] shows is our message is resonating with Albertans; we’re getting out there, we’re doing the work.”

The Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), which represents pollsters, cautions that the publication of political-poll results “carries with it the potential for great consequence,” including the risk of misleading voters or eroding public trust. The council asks that journalists, before publishing a poll’s results, consider how questions were phrased, sample sizes and margins of error. It also asks “Who’s the sponsor, and what’s their interest in the topic?” CRIC quotes a former US network TV director: “When assessing whether to publish the results of a poll, media need to apply the same degree of journalistic critical practices and skepticism that they would to any other source of information.”

One of Modry’s main adversaries, Thomas Lukaszuk, leader of the Forever Canadian campaign, believes support for Alberta separatism is much more modest. “I think it’s fair to say approximately 10 per cent of Albertans are 100 per cent determined to separate from Canada,” he says. Lukaszuk’s impression is based in part on months of collecting signatures from hundreds of thousands of “pro-remain” Albertans. Meanwhile, he believes separatists themselves are divided. “That 10 per cent is further subdivided between those who’d like to join the US [and] those who somehow envision forming a new country.”

Polling conducted by Janet Brown, commissioned by CBC, has offered a more nuanced picture. In her survey of 1,200 random Albertans, conducted in May 2025, 22 per cent of respondents identified as “committed separatists.” Her survey suggests that a further 14 per cent identify as “soft separatists”—frustrated, perhaps, but not especially keen to leave Canada. They tend to approve of premier Smith’s attempt to forge a new relationship with Ottawa.

A deeper dive into Brown’s polling data offers further insights. John Santos, Brown’s data scientist, explained: “Of those who are ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in their ability to save for retirement, 36 per cent would vote for separation; conversely, only 22 per cent of those who are ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ confident in their ability to save for retirement would vote for separation. This is very much an issue of financial security.”

This survey and others suggest the drivers of separatism in Alberta aren’t cultural or linguistic as in Quebec. They’re economic. The U of C’s Lisa Young argues separatists believe “Canada has stood in the way of Alberta’s prosperity because of [federal] environmental regulations.” Lukaszuk observed something similar: “We found that cities, towns and other areas that are very much reliant on the oil and gas servicing industry tend to be more pro-separatist.”

Frank Graves of EKOS suggests that surveys on Alberta separatism are being swayed by misinformation. He shared with Alberta Views preliminary results of polling he conducted on behalf of the labour movement. “The level of misinformation in Alberta is the highest in the country,” he says. In polling on the role of false information in Alberta politics, EKOS asked a number of screening questions. Respondents were asked whether certain statements were true or false. For example: “Deaths due to COVID-19 vaccines are being intentionally hidden by the government.” This process helped EKOS identify respondents that have been swayed by falsehoods. Graves believes that susceptibility to misinformation is the most “powerful predictor” of support for separating.

Not all polls are created equal. Some seem to push people to answer questions a certain way.

So, what ultimately explains the difference between Pollara’s 24 per cent, Leger’s 41 per cent and Abacus’s 18 per cent support for Alberta separatism Perhaps subtle changes in the wording:

“If a referendum were held on your province’s sovereignty, would you vote FOR or AGAINST?” (Pollara)

“If a provincial referendum were held tomorrow on whether or not your province should separate from Canada to form its own country, how would you most likely vote?” (Leger)

“Do you agree that the province of Alberta shall become a sovereign country and cease to be a province of Canada?” (Abacus)

Leger gave respondents the option of “strong support” or “somewhat support,” then combined these to show “support for separating.” Pollara’s choice was starker: “Stay or separate?” And Abacus seemed to be asking for a prediction. The questioners had different sample sizes, weighting strategies and survey methods. One survey prompted respondents with a question about Liberal leader Mark Carney; another prefaced its survey by asking how closely respondents have been following the news. Respondents may have been influenced by the looming federal election, or by financial insecurity, or by misinformation, or even by other surveys they’d seen.

For his part, Graves didn’t want to speculate on the differences. “If I were doing this,” he says, “I’d do random control assignment testing. A random portion is assigned to version A of the question, and the other is assigned to version B.” This would be the only way to determine whether or not the way the question was asked had a bearing on the result.

Many more such surveys will be released this year. The stakes are high—Albertans could soon face a separation referendum. And the ultimate poll will come at the ballot box.

Angus Reid, Janet Brown, Ekos, and Mainstreet Pollsters struggling to change the results of a poll.

Illustration by Gerry Rasmussen

Laurence Miall lives in Edmonton. He has written for Jacobin, the CBC and Alberta Views, and is a former editor of carte blanche.

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The Big Bet /igaming-big-bet/ /igaming-big-bet/#respond Mon, 01 Dec 2025 10:27:29 +0000 / Alberta’s “Ministry of Fun” opens the online gambling floodgates

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On July 14, 2025, Steve had a special meeting to attend. “Seven o’clock is my friend’s 28 years off gambling,” he says. There would be cake and coffee, and Gamblers Anonymous members who normally attended other meetings around Calgary would converge to show support and celebrate the milestone.

As for Steve, it’s been 26 years since he first visited a GA meeting. Now 47, his relationship with recovery has been off and on. “I probably have 20 years of clean time combined,” he says. Roughly 180,000 Albertans, according to the Canadian Community Health Survey, have or are at risk for gambling problems.

Growing up in south Calgary, Steve bet on childhood marble or pool games, taken in by the highs of winning. By 17 he was sneaking into the Elbow River Casino. “I just couldn’t wait until I was 18,” he says. As Steve matured into adulthood, gambling took over his life. His debts became too high to keep his addiction secret. He lost a marriage “after being given 100 chances.” Family members started getting calls from banks and other lenders demanding Steve repay the money.

In 1999, when Steve attended his first GA meeting, Alberta’s gambling landscape grounded itself in the physical realm. There were casinos—his preferred type of play—as well as video lottery terminals (VLTs), bingo, scratch tickets and lotto and Sport Select slips to fill in with a pencil. With only half of Canadians using the internet as the millennium dawned, everything online was in its infancy. This included gambling.

Then “grey-market” gambling websites started to appear online. Registered in such far-flung places as the Caribbean or the Isle of Man, they were illegal and unregulated in Canada. The players logging on didn’t know or care. A Canada West Foundation report proposed that the problem was best ignored. “It is not clear that a reasonable market for internet-based gambling in Canada exists, nor is it clear that such a market could be created,” wrote Robin Kelley, Peter Todosichuk and Jason Azmier in 2001. The authors argued that in trying to capture these players, governments might just create wider problems.

The grey market grew, however, as internet adoption increased and the number of websites expanded. Eventually people began gambling through browsers and apps on their smartphones and tablets. Provinces decided the market was a threat, and responded by launching their own legal, publicly owned online casinos, including, in 2020, Play Alberta. Gambling activity spread further with the legalization of single-sport betting nationwide in 2021.

The following year, Ontario started regulating the online private-casino—dubbed iGaming—industry. This officially enabled online casinos, including those previously operating outside Ontario law, to be licensed by the province. In exchange they would pay a cut of their revenues to the provincial government. Ontario now has some 50 operators, which run 87 websites.

In a few short years iGaming has become a huge industry in Ontario. More than two million user accounts have been opened, of which one million are active. Gambling has contributed more than $1.6-billion to Ontario government coffers. The government of Alberta has taken notice. They want in on the action. Albertans have already been seeing ads for gambling apps and websites (e.g., on Hockey Night in Canada) that they can’t actually use, at least legally.

As the second mover in Canadian iGaming, Alberta could learn from—or ignore—Ontario’s lessons. Though our government has said Alberta will “massage” Ontario’s blueprint, provinces often simply copy policies. Alberta will also help set the stage for provinces that follow suit. This province’s approach could even shape the gambling industry abroad. But whether Wild Rose Country will put a good system in place depends on who you ask.

 

In June 2024 the Minister of Service Alberta and Red Tape Reduction, Dale Nally, took the stage at the Canadian Gaming Summit in front of a large photo of himself to talk about “Betting on the Alberta Advantage.” Hair slicked back, Nally introduced himself not by his actual title but as the province’s “Minister of Fun.” He noted Ontario’s “success” with iGaming, and said Alberta wanted to follow in its footsteps. He said Albertans watching sports see ads for things they love, like beer, trucks and gambling. “But there’s something we don’t like about the ads,” he said, in a recording shared with AV by a journalist in attendance. It was the disclaimer that says “Ontario only.” “So we’ve got to change that.” Nally told the gambling company representatives in the audience to come find him later, to pitch, because Alberta would soon be open for business.

Consultations followed with stakeholders, including First Nations and other land-based casino operators in Alberta. In the legislature, MLAs debated how Alberta would soon usher in a new era of gambling. Amendments to proposed legislation—including player-protection measures such as gambling education, advertising limits and financial outlays for harm reduction—were defeated. And then, in May 2025, the iGaming Alberta Act was passed. The floodgates are expected to officially open in 2026.

Minister Dale Nally noted Ontario’s “success” with online gambling, and said Alberta wants to follow in its footsteps.

What awaits Albertans is an experiment. Countries such as Denmark, Sweden and the UK have versions of iGaming marketplaces. But in North America the iGaming industry is still in its infancy. Besides Ontario, iGaming marketplaces exist in only seven US states. Online sports betting is more widespread, both across Canada and, according to the American Gaming Association, in 34 US states. Though quick to tout benefits—namely revenue—governments like Ontario’s are also facing consequences, including more gambling addiction and growing concerns over advertising, such as its effects on children and youth.

Steve is already hearing about these concerns in GA meetings, with the biggest change in recent years being how people gamble. Older people are still using casinos and VLTs, he says. “But the younger people coming in now are mostly online gamblers.”

Nally isn’t hearing as many reservations. The people he talks to want us to be like Ontario. “Albertans have said ‘Why don’t you do the same here?’” Nally told CBC in a 2025 interview about iGaming. “Why don’t you put in place safety measures Why don’t you stop the money from leaving the province, and keep some of it in Alberta?”

 

Putting aside the open question of how many people expressed such preferences to Nally, or what their interests are, governments have traditionally let revenue potential, not consumer input, drive gambling expansion.

The founding father of gambling economics, the late William Eadington, was skeptical of online gambling’s role in public revenue generation, because he felt more taxes could be collected from physical venues such as casinos.

Though the online market is bigger for operators—by virtue of its 24/7, borderless, portable access—governments don’t earn the same spoils. While the Ontario government takes over 80 per cent of the revenues from land-based casinos and VLTs, it takes only 20 per cent of online iGaming revenues.

Ontario’s iGaming private companies have collectively taken more than $7.6-billion in just over three years, five times the online gambling revenue the provincial government has collected. Publicly owned online casinos in Alberta and Ontario don’t have partners to split revenues with, meaning the government keeps it all. The Edmonton international airport currently keeps 15 per cent of gross gaming revenue from its VLTs, while 85 per cent is returned to government coffers. Alberta charitable casinos are currently taxed at 83 per cent of net revenue. But Alberta’s online iGaming casinos are likely to be taxed at only 20 per cent, as in Ontario.

In short, the province will receive a much smaller cut from each dollar spent in a new iGaming regime than it is used to receiving from other forms of gambling.

The Alberta government downplays the possibility of iGaming cannibalizing higher-taxed land-based gaming. When launching Play Alberta, it said this wouldn’t happen, due to the province’s focus on targeting grey-market gamblers. Nonetheless, it’s very likely. A consultant’s report commissioned by casino operator Great Canadian Entertainment suggested Ontario casinos could lose about $550-million annually from gamblers flocking instead to iGaming. And indeed Ontario casino revenues fell below target in fiscal 2023–24 by almost that very amount. For the government to avoid taking a financial hit, then, Alberta’s gamblers will need to lose more money—or more Albertans will need to start gambling.

Land-based gambling creates economic spinoffs through casinos and VLT venues. These include job creation and additional tax revenues from food and beverages, payroll and property. Ontario is losing these “silver linings” of gambling. When Play Alberta launched, its potential impact on casino revenues was enough for the Tsuut’ina and Stoney Nakoda First Nations to file a lawsuit citing potentially unfair competition.

When William Eadington wrote about online gambling earlier this century, the massive global industry we live with today was, in some respects, unfathomable. But now professional sports leagues have given up their long fight against betting potentially corrupting the sanctity of their games. Governments have permitted marketing on a grand scale with few restrictions, as in Ontario. And they have  succumbed to the temptation to steer away from more-profitable gambling options for a smaller share of a larger pie.

In part, this is due to the spectre of grey-market gambling, which drives a narrative known in gambling research as overcoming “regulatory resistance.” Gambling proponents invoke the perils of the grey market (or illegal black market) to wear down and defeat resistance to legalizing gambling. According to a 2021 paper in the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, concerns include loss of consumer freedom, lower economic growth, and lack of safety.

Governments and consultants suggest that vast sums of money are currently being gambled away in unregulated markets. In 2020, as Play Alberta was being launched, Alberta Gaming, Liquor and Cannabis (AGLC) suggested Albertans were gambling away $378-million on the unregulated market.

Minister Nally, who didn’t respond to an interview request, spoke of the shadow side of the industry disdainfully in the legislature. “There are two parts that really are quite offensive,” he said. “One is that the money is not just leaving Alberta; it’s leaving the country for offshore destinations. So we don’t see a penny of that. And some of these operators are repugnant.”

 

Switching gamblers from unregulated to regulated gambling is called “channelization.” Some industry observers consider even 80 per cent to be a low goal. Ontario, which according to an Ipsos poll sees 86.4 per cent of its gamblers use the province’s regulated iGaming market, is chasing a 90 per cent channelization rate.

Unsurprisingly, channelization rates run lower in jurisdictions such as Alberta that have a single, publicly owned online casino rather than dozens of privately run websites that court the public with incentives to gamble and try to outmarket each other. In 2023–24 (the most recent annual report available), Albertans placed $5.3-billion in bets across all games on Play Alberta. That’s a 20.8 per cent increase over the previous year. After prize payouts and expenses, this netted the government $235-million. Prior to the 2020 launch, the province didn’t earn one cent from regulated online gambling.

The amount by which iGaming could expand Alberta’s regulated market is debated. Analysts project the new market could reach $1-billion to $1.25-billion at maturity. With 20 per cent of gross gaming revenue going to the provincial general fund—the same rate Ontario takes from iGaming partners—at least $200-million could be expected annually. Meanwhile $200-million is equivalent to only 0.25 per cent of the province’s projected 2025–26 total expenses.

For Alberta to avoid taking a financial hit, gamblers will need to lose more money—or more Albertans will need to start gambling.

So, is it worth it to allow all this online gaming Carrie Shaw, an Alberta Gaming Research Institute (AGRI) research chair at the University of Alberta, says she’s skeptical of revenue projections, because how much will get captured is calculated differently depending on who’s crunching the numbers. “I don’t know that the rationale for opening the market in Alberta is as evidence-based as it could be,” she says.

Take, for example, that no foolproof way exists to estimate the market size of Albertans wagering on grey-market sites. Often activity like this is measured through user surveys or web-traffic patterns, not spending data. Other information, such as the number of player accounts at a given online casino, is proprietary. Estimates vary too widely to tell a definitive story.

Though the province officially claims that Play Alberta has captured 45 per cent of the local online gambling market, data shared with the industry magazine Canadian Gaming Business by H2 Gambling Capital suggests the number is closer to “28 per cent of non-lottery gaming.” (H2 didn’t respond to an interview request.) A survey of online gamblers by Ipsos and the Canadian Gaming Association, an industry trade group, reported that only 22.7 per cent wager on Play Alberta. And of those players, just over half also gambled on grey-market sites.

If one assumes Play Alberta currently has 45 per cent of the market, with its 434,000 registered player accounts, the remaining 55 per cent of the market wouldn’t constitute 530,445 grey market accounts. Although Play Alberta permits only one account per individual, verified using government ID, players can sign up for accounts with multiple online gambling operators in iGaming or grey markets.

David Forrest, an emeritus professor of economics at the University of Liverpool, says the average from UK Gambling Commission surveys is two accounts. But academic reviews of problem-gambling screenings suggest the number can actually be six or seven per gambler. Taking this into consideration can dramatically reduce the potential market size of iGaming in Alberta by several magnitudes. It can also distort channelization rates by making them appear higher by measuring total accounts rather than total players.

Forrest adds that attempts to survey gamblers on money spent are also challenging. Estimates range widely due to issues with self-reporting, including lack of recall or stating the amount wagered or the amount lost interchangeably.

 

Besides issues around the actual revenue potential of iGaming, Shaw at AGRI says other unintended consequences aren’t being properly reviewed. Online gambling, she notes, is inherently riskier than the in-person kind. Yet Canada already has insufficient public data on the consequences of gambling, whether detailed addiction rates, the number of calls to gambling helplines or the magnitude of harms such as gambling-related bankruptcies, domestic violence or suicides.

In 2018 Statistics Canada estimated 2.9 per cent of Ontarians have gambling problems or are at some level of risk for them. In December 2024 a Pollara report for Mental Health Research Canada put that number at a whopping 22 per cent. The Ontario Problem Gambling Helpline says it’s seeing a spike in calls. The scraps of evidence so far, wrote four Ontario psychologists for The Conversation in January 2025, “suggest a notable rise in problem gambling since [iGaming’s] introduction.”

Facing public criticism, Ontario banned celebrities from appearing in ads to promote iGaming—unless they’re promoting “responsible gaming.” It’s unknown whether this is having the intended effect. “We don’t have any evidence to suggest it’s having [an] impact,” Shaw says. And we know little about the long-term effects of online gambling ads on children and youth.

The biggest criticism so far, however, is that Alberta is moving ahead with the industry before crafting many of the rules and regulations.

Other than a plan for centralized self-exclusion that will enable patrons to ban themselves from all iGaming casinos at once—a feature Ontario still lacks—few specifics are yet known about Alberta’s iGaming market. Nally has said he believes responsible gambling should be a regulatory issue, not written into law. That way, he told the legislature, changes can be made “on a dime” as required by the market rather than requiring a legislative process.

That isn’t good enough for experts on gambling activity and addiction. “I think the onus is on the provider and the regulators to actually partner with [arm’s length] researchers,” Shaw says. Though researchers at the AGRI have a good working relationship with the provincial regulator, Shaw adds, the institute hasn’t been asked to perform independent research in the lead-up to Alberta opening its iGaming market.

It’s also critical to address a less tangible query: Will the consumer protections offered as part of an Alberta iGaming industry outweigh the negative consequences for the public writ large When discussing why an iGaming industry even needs to be created here, the provincial government publicly defaults to messages related to safety and responsible gambling. “Our goal is not to create new gamblers but to make existing online gambling safer,” Nally has said.

Brady Simpson, a University of Calgary doctoral candidate who studies gambling marketing, finds this messaging baffling. “What do you think is going to happen when these massive—in some cases multibillion-dollar—[companies] are able to inject their marketing dollars into Alberta The whole point is new-customer acquisition and then retention of those people.”

Simpson adds that such a permissive approach isn’t being taken with tobacco, alcohol or cannabis. Gambling too has health and addiction risks. Tobacco, alcohol and cannabis typically aren’t as close by as one’s phone, with its new, enticing, soon-to-be-legal gambling apps. At a minimum, says Simpson, “We should have limitations on marketing and accessibility.” Instead, the industry is “about to open the floodgates.”

 

What is happening now with iGaming in Alberta is familiar. It’s the same process every time Alberta expands its gambling options. The same questions, the same concerns, the same alleged drive to stamp out illegal activity, the same push to expand industry, the same lack of digging into how previous gambling expansion has affected people. It has happened before, here and across the country, and history is repeating itself.

Lobbyists are already pushing for an iGaming market in BC, but at present the government there says it isn’t interested. The Quebec Online Gaming Coalition—which includes member companies Bet99, Draft Kings and Flutter—has been lobbying for an iGaming market in that province since May 2023.

Yet this could be a moment to steer away from the old narratives and rationales that turned legalized gambling into a massive business.

When Nally spoke to industry insiders, he told them Albertans love to gamble. But the “Minister of Fun” also told the legislature: “I want to be perfectly clear: if you don’t gamble today, please don’t start tomorrow. That is not the purpose of this.” Meanwhile his government is projecting that Alberta’s gambling industry will grow. If this isn’t a mixed message, what is?

 

Steve has been in recovery since 2019, and he is determined to make it stick. “There’s a difference between abstinence and recovery,” he says. Previously he only focused on abstinence from gambling, which he saw as time off. Now he’s actively in recovery, which for him involves following a 12-step program and doing service work, including as an executive with Southern Alberta Gamblers Anonymous. He knows what will happen if he veers off course. “I won’t stop until I lose all my money. I’m going to be a liar. I’m going to be a thief,” he says. “I might as well say bye-bye to my family and my friends and my work.”

One thing he is confident about with Alberta’s new iGaming regime is that it won’t unleash a flood of new people with gambling addiction into his meetings. But not because they won’t exist. “There are thousands and thousands of compulsive gamblers in Calgary,” he says. “Yet every night we have a meeting, maybe 15 to 20 of us are in the room.”

Journalist Rob Csernyik has a forthcoming book from Sutherland House on gambling-related suicides in Canada.

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Read More: Who Wants Albertan’s to Gamble More?

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Big Donald is Watching You /big-donald-watching-you/ /big-donald-watching-you/#respond Sat, 01 Nov 2025 10:00:46 +0000 / Let’s repatriate airport security.

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Anyone who uses Canadian airports is familiar with the scene: a long line of passengers waits to go through security. The line moves slowly. Passengers going through the screening pull their laptops from their bags and place them in a tray for inspection. They put their tiny shampoo bottles and tiny toothpaste tubes into tiny plastic baggies. If they’re wearing boots that go ever so slightly above the ankle, they take them off and stand on the cold airport floor in their socks.

And while passengers wait in those lines, they can’t help but look over at the lucky Verified Travellers, whisking their way through the short, speedy Verified Travellers line, where people can leave their computers in their cases, their toothpaste in their toiletry bag and their boots on their feet.

As they stand watching, they may be wondering—how do I get to be a Verified Traveller?

Four classes of Canadians, in fact, get to use the “good line.” First, current members of the Canadian Armed Forces. Second, RCMP members as well as most members of provincial and local police forces. Third, pilots, flight attendants and other aircrew members in uniform, as well as any airport employees who carry special Restricted Area Identification Cards.

If you’re not in one of these categories, the only way to use the fast line is with a NEXUS card. NEXUS is a joint US/Canadian program that lets Canadians cross more easily into the US. It’s ideal for people who do a lot of cross-border business or who work in both countries. Applicants go through security background checks and in-person interviews by the Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA)—and US Homeland Security.

During the first Trump term, when COVID hit, the whole system ground to a halt, creating multi-year waits to get a card. Then the US tightened its rules. Canadians used to be able to go to any major international airport, such as those in Calgary and Edmonton, to be interviewed by US border officials. Now Canadians can only book an interview by crossing a US land border or by buying an airline ticket to an American destination. Getting an appointment isn’t easy. When I spoke to the CBSA a few months ago, they said more than 100,000 Canadians were waiting for an interview.

That’s not the only problem. For many Canadians, the idea of submitting to vetting by Trump’s Homeland Security apparatus, of providing the Trump regime with their fingerprints and their retinal scans, is more than a little disquieting. Then, this past summer, the CBSA confirmed that Homeland Security will only accept NEXUS cards with genders clearly marked F or M. For trans, gender-fluid or gender non-binary Canadians, that means a NEXUS card may simply be out of reach.

The CBSA says applications for NEXUS cards started dropping noticeably last November, right after Trump’s second election. It’s hard to see that trend reversing anytime soon.

The idea of providing the Trump regime with our fingerprints and retinal scans is disquieting.

That’s a problem for Canadian airports. Without enough Verified Travellers in the queue, they can’t afford the staff to keep Verified Traveller lanes open. Already, Ottawa’s airport only opens its Verified line during limited peak hours. The Canadian Airports Council warns that if we don’t have enough Verified Travellers, security wait times will increase for everyone.

Why do we still rely on a country that has threatened our sovereignty to investigate our citizens and collect and retain their private and biometric information It’s not just gender queer Canadians at risk. What if the Trump government just doesn’t like your politics, your social media posts or your skin tone Why have we surrendered to another country the authority to determine which Canadians can be trusted?

Maybe you don’t think you need a NEXUS card. Canadians have dramatically reduced US travel since Trump’s annexation threats. But if you want to fly from Edmonton to Moncton, and leave your boots on, you must show a NEXUS card. If you want to fly from Calgary to Ottawa, without unpacking your laptop, you need a NEXUS card. The only way for Canadian frequent fliers to travel conveniently within their own borders is with Donald Trump’s blessing! It’s bonkers.

It doesn’t have to be this way. As it happens the CBSA already carries out its own background checks in order to issue NEXUS cards. So what is preventing Canada from issuing its own trusted traveller cards to Canadian citizens who aren’t going to the US I haven’t been able to get a proper answer to that question. And so I recently tabled a motion in the Senate calling on the government to investigate the creation of a sovereign, domestic Verified Travellers program for Canadian air passengers.

It’s well past time for us to repatriate control of our airport security systems and stop contracting out our security assessments to a foreign power. It may cost a bit more. But it will be worth every penny for us to reclaim our national sovereignty, and to ensure that every Canadian has the equal right to travel efficiently—even with toothpaste.

Paula Simons is an Alberta senator and a member of the Standing Senate Committee on Transport and Communications. 

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Read more from the archive “Not Enough Pilots” November 2023.

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Ground Truths /ground-truths/ /ground-truths/#respond Tue, 01 Jul 2025 10:00:11 +0000 / The changes I saw in 30 years on the environment beat in Alberta

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In May 15, 2020, the government of Alberta issued a document called Information Letter 2020–23, titled “Rescission of a Coal Development Policy for Alberta.” Note the careful bureaucratic obscurity of the title. Before I read it, I had no idea “rescission” was even a word. Note also the date—the Friday before the May long weekend. There’s this theory in government that possibly troublesome releases stand a better chance of being overlooked on Friday afternoon as reporters gear down for the weekend. The move is sometimes referred to as “taking out the trash,” and sometimes it even works. This particular piece of trash was one page long. It was accompanied by no backgrounders, no analysis, no explanation. Then-energy minister Sonya Savage appeared at no advance press conferences to discuss it. No technical briefings were held, nor was it debated in the legislature. Nevertheless it threw out 44 years of precedent and opened vast areas of the Rockies and surrounding foothills to open-pit coal mining. The most profound change in land-use policy Alberta had seen in more than a decade was simply slipped onto a government website.

A few days later I got a panicked phone call from a member of an environmental group I was in touch with. Was I aware that the United Conservative Party government had just opened up one of Alberta’s most beloved landscapes to coal mining I was not. It seemed newsworthy and I started writing about it. Others joined in, and you all know what happened next. Probably the greatest environmental backlash this province has ever seen eventually forced the government to back down. At least for a little while.

But let’s compare the rollout of the coal policy rescission with another major Alberta land-use move, the South Saskatchewan Regional Plan. That plan governs energy development, water use, farming and ranching, recreation, forest management and nature-based tourism over a huge part of southern Alberta. It was released in 2014 after five years of study. Thousands of Albertans made themselves heard during three rounds—three rounds!—of public consultation. The legally binding plan remains in place and is relied on for guidance by everyone from municipalities to NGOs.

That, ladies and gentlemen, is the distance we’ve travelled. We once made policy using the classic conservative virtues of careful thought and consultation. We now have top-down fiats delivered from on high.

 

You are not about to listen to a research paper. I’m going to speak from personal memory and experience, as someone who has travelled this distance I speak of. That journey has led me to a few conclusions. What I’ve seen is that at a time of environmental crisis, when cities are literally burning and major watersheds drying, our governments are denying us the conversations we need to have. They’re drawing the blinds on our window into policy, they’re closing the shutters on our view into decision-making and they’re bricking up our doorways into understanding.

I came to the Edmonton bureau of the Canadian Press in 1994 and worked there until I retired in September 2024. I arrived back in the days of Ralph Klein. I didn’t agree with a lot of what that government did, but I will say this for Ralph: when the legislature was in session, he would show up regularly in the press gallery media theatre at 1:30 and take questions. And not just a few, for there were a lot of us back then. Ralph would stand there and field everything we threw at him. We’d shout out questions from the floor and he’d take them on. Some of those press conferences went on for over an hour. It got to be a bit of a press gallery joke—keep Ralph talking and eventually he’d say something newsworthy. Nor was Ralph the only open-access politician back then. Ministers were buttonholed daily in freewheeling scrums. Often they granted personal interviews, in person or on the phone. And after the hurly-burly of a big day, a throne speech or a budget, reporters and politicians would gather at a bar across 109th St. from the legislature for beers. Those were the days.

Compare that to a Danielle Smith presser. First, they’re rare. Smith prefers to address Albertans through social media or her radio show. Second, they’re short—in my experience, rarely more than 20 minutes or so. Many times I was still in the question queue when things wrapped up. Third, they’re highly managed. Government communications staff choose the questioners, putting control in their hands. Chosen reporters are then limited to two questions each. If a politician can’t bat aside two questions with message-track responses, they’re in the wrong job. Almost all UCP press conferences follow this pattern. So do those of many other politicians, Liberal and Conservative. They all do it that way now because it works. It keeps things under control.

 

If that were my only complaint, I wouldn’t be speaking with you here today. No doubt some form of order needed to be imposed on us unruly reporters, especially as more and more of us dial in rather than show up. Press conferences have always been part theatre, and are not a reporter’s most important source of information. But the noose on access has been pulled much tighter than just that.

Part of a reporter’s job is to collect as many different sides to a story as can be crammed into the copy. It was routine for me, after I’d listened to someone’s concerns or read some new research, to go to the government for its side. Back in the day, I could usually get someone on the phone who understood and could actually explain the policy in question. Sometimes I could get the minister. Even press secretaries would answer a verbal back-and-forth with on-the-record responses.

By the end of my career, explanation and response had deteriorated into “comment.” If I wanted “comment” I had to email a question or two to the requisite press sec and wait for a response. It normally came right on my deadline, generally three or four sentences of motherhood statements that a colleague of mine used to call “banana mumble chicken.” There was little chance for follow-ups or clarification. Take what you get and be grateful for it. Often, the responses didn’t even address the questions I’d raised and were simply partisan jabs—government good, opponents bad. It was often a challenge to find something actually usable for my story. Again, this is not unique to Alberta. It started with Stephen Harper in Ottawa, and they all do it now. But Alberta seems uniquely enthusiastic about emailed “comment.” For example, the head of communications at the Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) once told me bluntly that the institution’s policy is that all communications are conducted through email. Nobody is allowed to talk to anyone, under any circumstances, lest they say something.

Cabinet ministers Forget about it. Over my career, I interviewed, repeatedly, every single environment minister from Ralph Klein onward. Some of them I was on pretty good terms with. The UCP have had two environment ministers—Jason Nixon and Rebecca Schulz. I once got five minutes on the phone with Nixon. Despite dozens of requests, Schulz never spoke with me. Not once.

Nor is the clampdown limited to politicians and political staff. I used to be on a first-name basis with some of the Alberta government’s top scientists, and we have had some really good ones working for us. If I needed information on say, caribou populations, or chronic wasting disease in deer, I could go straight to the expert right away. By the time I left the Canadian Press, it took elaborate, secretive machinations on the level of a spy novel to talk to actual scientists. For good reason. One researcher refused to speak to me at all about a published paper he had co-authored, for fear of repercussions from Alberta, even though he no longer worked for the government and lived in the US.

And then there’s FOIP. It’s supposed to stand for freedom of information but may have been better summed up by a Klein-era cabinet minister as “Fuck off, it’s private.” FOIP searches used to be extremely useful to me. I got all kinds of stuff—draft reports on sour gas releases written before the bureaucrats had had a chance to water them down, for example. Some of my first oil sands stories, back in the late 1990s, were based on internal environmental impact studies I’d gotten through FOIP. I understand that not everything can or should be released. But over the years, the redactions just kept getting bigger. I think peak redaction was achieved the day I got a FOIP response consisting of 300 completely blank pages. Yes, I did write a story about it.

There are still reporters doing excellent FOIP work, God love ’em, but it’s getting harder. The Globe and Mail has declared Alberta the most secretive jurisdiction in a secretive country, and recently things have gotten worse. The UCP has introduced legislation that would extend exemptions from the law to political staff, keeping more people nice and warm under a blanket of secrecy.

The flipside of ignoring troublesome questions is cherry-picking whom to listen to. This also happens. Look at the recent study on reforms to the AER, written by a pair of long-time insiders and containing no input from civil society. Look who has standing before the regulator’s hearings—unless you are literally next door to a project, you have no voice. Look at the Siksika First Nation, forced into court over broken government consultation promises. And if I may leave purely environmental concerns for a moment, consider the government’s recent report into its COVID response, headed by a former UCP nomination candidate and dismissed by medical professionals as misinformation.

Maybe you’re saying “So what. Governments are elected to govern, and that means making choices that not everyone’s going to be happy about. Majority rules, and if you don’t like it, try again in the next election.” I would suggest that’s a grade-school understanding of democracy. Governments are entitled to act on their agendas, but they are not entitled to pretend those who don’t agree don’t exist. Mature administrations try to find some compromise, to bring everyone along and to govern for everyone. It’s the difference between parliamentary democracy and an elected monarchy.

I would argue further that broad discussion among an informed public is particularly crucial in environmental issues. Decisions about the health of a river or a forest, the integrity of a landscape or the abundance of wildlife last for generations. A law on tax policy can be changed after the next election if it doesn’t work out. A law that allows the removal of a mountaintop alters Alberta forever.

As well, you may have noticed that the world is changing. Climate change will eventually force a worldwide shift away from high-carbon energy, the kind of energy our province produces. We will not have a choice in this. It will happen, for the alternative does not bear thinking about. We all know the extent to which this province depends on oil and gas. But for the first time we can see that this industry that has powered our province for so long is vulnerable. We desperately need to have honest conversations about where we’re going, how long it will take to get there and what this place will look like when we arrive. Instead, it’s an information-free zone. Instead, we get “ethical oil,” as if the jet stream or the oceans cared about our human rights laws. Instead, we get bromides about “world-class” regulatory systems, as if unreclaimed wells and tailings ponds don’t dot our landscape.

Instead, we get what happened to Alberta’s renewables industry. Some said the developments would use too much farmland, or that wind turbines are too hard to reclaim. Those objections were all pretty much refuted, some by researchers at this school [U of C]. But reality-based information didn’t matter. The decisions were made behind closed doors on the advice of nobody knows who. The most promising parts of the province are now shut off to the renewables industry, and money is fleeing elsewhere.

Finally, I would argue environmental decisions reveal important things about Albertans as a people. Choosing what to exploit and what to preserve shows what we value and who we care about. This land is our home. And like a home long lived in, how it looks reflects its residents. When we allow one more bit of caribou habitat to wink out or one more trout stream in the foothills to silt up, we lessen ourselves. And we lessen following generations. I’m going to argue that what we do to our home, our province, we do to ourselves. Surely we should all be around the table to talk about that.

 

Again, I’d like to emphasize that this is my experience. I’m sure other reporters see things differently. I’m not arguing with them, I’m just telling you what it’s been like for me. And this is what I’ve seen in 25 or 30 years on the environment beat in Alberta—fewer chances for public input, fewer answers from government, and a gradual restriction of public space while decision-making concentrates in fewer and fewer hands.

So where does this leave us Fortunately, with a number of bright spots. While our country’s largest newspaper chain, Postmedia, is nowhere to be seen on this issue, good environmental journalism is being done by many mainstream news organizations. And independent media that take environmental issues seriously are a rising force. I’m thinking of the National Observer, The Tyee, Hakai magazine and of course The Narwhal—which is, astonishingly, only seven years old and already inflecting the national conversation.

Another hopeful sign is what I call the democratization of data. Our governments may be increasingly close-mouthed, but in a way that matters less and less. As I speak, dozens of satellites orbit overhead monitoring a whole range of environmental benchmarks, from greenhouse gas emissions to clear-cutting. And they’re doing it in real time at a level of precision that boggles the mind. Ten years ago, data like this was precious and rare. Now, it’s a commercial product you can go out and just buy, or acquire from sources like the European Space Agency or NASA. Environmental groups have become expert at using this data to ground-truth government claims. They use geomatics with impressive accuracy and speed. I remember that during the initial controversy about Alberta’s coal policy the Canadian Parks and Wilderness Society made maps of all the coal exploration leases that were much more comprehensive and useful than anything released by the government. Similarly the late, lamented Alberta Liabilities Disclosure Project carefully documented the size and extent of the lingering impacts of the energy industry, a great service to us all. Scientists themselves are becoming increasingly outspoken about the consequences of our current path.

So despite government attempts to direct the environmental conversation, they are increasingly unable to. That’s good.

Still, environmental journalism is always going to be a tough row to hoe. Nobody likes the environmental reporter. In good times, you’re a buzzkill. In bad times, you’re a job-killer. You’re always kind of a scold. And it ain’t glamorous. You’re not out there with hip waders, shoulder-to-shoulder in the swamp with the intrepid field biologist. No, you’re back in the newsroom, going through court judgments and regulatory documents, because that’s where we really decide who gets to do what to whom. You’re adding up and staring at long columns of figures until a pattern emerges or your eyes cross, whichever comes first. And it takes resources to do this, the chief among them time. In a newsroom, time is the most precious commodity of all. As journalism resources shrink, there’s less of that precious commodity for everyone.

It takes a personal toll as well. There aren’t too many good-news stories on this beat and you always seem to be writing about loss. That weighs on you after awhile. It weighed on me.

 

But that’s the world we live in. What we make of it is up to us, reporters and members of an engaged public. And before I close, I’d like to remind you of what still can be made. I’d like to return to the event with which I started this talk—the coal policy rescission.

It didn’t take long for news of the government’s plan to spread. My colleagues and I got the information out as quickly as we could, and I have never seen anything like what happened next. It was clear Albertans felt a sacred trust had been breached and that their sense of themselves, who they were and where they lived, had been attacked. Within days, ranchers, big-city nature-lovers, small-town mayors, scientists and country music stars banded together and forced the UCP government to backtrack. We demanded, and got, a seat at the table and a forum for our voices. We demanded, and got, policy that protected what we loved and wanted for our children. It was maybe the most inspiring story I ever covered and made me realize how much, despite everything, I love this place.

Now, you may say the coal threat is back. Yes it is, and that shouldn’t be a surprise. As the writer Jane Rule tells us, politics is like housework: Just because you swept the dirt out last week doesn’t mean it doesn’t need doing again. The point is that it can be done. It can be done when the facts are on the table, and it can be done when people are heard. It can be done, and it must be done. It’s hard and disheartening and it never seems to end, I know. But in the words of the great Lyle Lovett, what would you be if you didn’t even try?

Bob Weber is a retired environment reporter formerly with the Canadian Press. The Edmonton-based Weber started at CP in 1996 and specialized in environmental coverage and Arctic issues

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